Actually, there might not be one next year. Just a probability. And many more in the years to come:
".... in global terms, the number of tropicals had not shown any significant increase in the past five years. “However, for the Atlantic basin we have seen an increase in the number of strong hurricanes since 1995. A record 33 systems of hurricane intensity formed in the five seasons spanning 1995 to 1999. “While the jury remains out on the impact of global warming on tropical cyclones, we do see a quasi-cyclic multi-decade regime that alternates between active and quiet phases for major Atlantic hurricanes on the scale of 25-40 years each. “It now seems likely that the extreme activity during the past 10 years dating back to 1995 marks the start of another active period that may last a total of 25-40 years.”
