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I think you also have a large number of Republicans who don't want to be painted with the media's broad brush that Republican = GWB. I think some Republicans have found that going around shouting, "I'm a Republican" these days tends to associate you more with the current administration than with traditional Republican values.
Face it, Republicans tend to be more conservative in many ways, and that can mean less willing to publicly divulge information. I, for one, know that it's much more fun to mess with pollsters by saying I'm a Democrat.
Look at the polls from just before the last election. Look at the exit polls that got it so wrong.
Bottom line is, current political polls using current methodology are NOT accurate, not plus or minus 3.4%, not at friggin' ALL.
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