[RoninLB]

Beyond the immediate strategic action is big time ME politics imo.



Since the early 1990s the scope of Muslim wars due to the culture of not accepting others has faded into a center. The dysfunction rage at the center has intensified as the outliers have fallen away. The Balkans, Caucasus, Chechnya, etc have condensed into Iraq and its periphery.

The Arab thinker opinion leaders message of "who did this to us?" " It's the Jews and Americans fault." has been modified into "What did we do wrong?". The slap in the face of Saudi Arabia bombings, The hotel bombing in Jordan, etc has led to locals complaining "I can't go anywhere. Malls are strictly for families."

Unfiltered wireless and Sat dishes are informing their populations about the outside world. The divide between those who don't like the outside and those who do is reformation or revolution in the making.

There is a major election, wrong words, coming up in Iran where the power brokers are at odds on who will be installed into the designated mouth pieces. It'll be not only just the historical 80% of the population being against the gangsters in spirit but that the gangsters are fighting for who will be in power among themselves.. Iran needs a revolution.

The pressure on these gangsters is increasing. A functioning Iraq is the gangsters greatest fear. The US is the reform enabler. Israel is the designated area bouncer.

Anyway.. the only way to handle active gangsters in the short term is to make the price for their actions so high that it doesn't make sense to act. And Iran must be shown that the price for any action by them would be a severe price. I believe Israel is acting in accordance with reality.