If this is actually developing the east coast if the USA might actually get a break for the next 2 years.
I wish you could see the smile on my face.
The article:
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=506&tstamp=200609
Quote:
Effect of El Niņo on hurricane season
As most of you know, El Niņo conditions put a major damper on both the number and intensity of Atlantic tropical cyclones. This is primarily due to increased wind shear. The upper air winds that develop when one heats the Equatorial Eastern Pacific waters tend to blow from west to east over the Atlantic at high speed. Since the tropical Atlantic trade winds near the surface typically blow the opposite direction, this creates a lot of shear that makes it difficult for a tropical cyclone to survive. Thus far in September, wind shear over the tropical Atlantic has been about normal, so there is no sign that a developing El Niņo is suppressing hurricane activity yet. However, if the Climate Prediction Center is right, we can expect an earlier than usual end to hurricane season in the Atlantic, and a quiet November and December--unlike last year! El Niņos can be long lived, and if the forecast El Niņo for this year develops as expected, it will probably last through the hurricane season of 2007, suppressing hurricane activity next year.
|