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Very interesting. Using jyl's calculations and lendaddy's reportage - a rough estimate would maybe change the length of time available for the end game scenario John proposes to 100-125 years. The question is really "what do we do with the knowledge we have" ?
I favor government sponsorship for new energy resource and technololgy research along with gradually imposed regulation (10-20 yr) that imposes reduced, cleaner, and more efficient petroleum use. As the technologies are developed they will be transferred to private industry to compete with petroleum based industries.
The oil industry would benefit from increased competition and so would the planet.
(great post John!)
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Scott
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