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M.D. Holloway M.D. Holloway is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Houston TX
Posts: 22,366
Probability Challenge - Can You Solve It?

Snagged from an engineering site I use from time to time...

'On a game show, a contestant is offered the choice of three doors. A goat is behind two of them, a new car behind the third. The contestant picks one door, but the host opens a different door showing a goat. With two doors left, the host again asks, "Which door?"

To maximize the probability to win the car, should the contestant stay with the first guess, or switch to the other door? Explain the reason behind your answer.'
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Michael D. Holloway
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Old 05-02-2007, 08:26 AM
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