Quote:
Originally posted by legion
I disagree. The second choice is a second, independent trial with one less choice.
|
True, except that one option is already at a disadvantage of having the "prize" (the initial one in three chance it was the prize). Where aas the second option has the advantage of being the sole survivor from the group having two in three initial odds of having the prize.
The error is assuming the two doors are equal at the time the option to switch is given.