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Moneyguy1 Moneyguy1 is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: Tucson AZ USA
Posts: 8,228
Does a president by himself dictate the tax rates or is that a function of both the legislative and the executive branch. Tabs; my background is finance and economics. No matter who the president puts in certain positions and no matter what actions these individuals undertake, the long run effect of their actions is unknown and inconsequential. Short term effects can be seen like the run-up of certain stocks after a rate cut. However, the long range effect of such a cut cannot be, with accuracy, foreseen. The economy is, after all, an irrational animal, more affected by emotion than by reason or logic.

The tax cuts are a short term effect. The additional deficit spending cannot continue indefinitely, no more than the uptick in real estate prices could. Sooner or later, the chickens will come home to roost. Strength of the dollar from this point forward........

Liquidity during the 30s....The inability of many investors at all levels to cover their losses. How does this differ in theory from a current population with massive debt and living from month to month, always on the brink of economic ruin? Slightly different scenario, totally similar potential results. Greenspan is right to warn us af a potential future recession.

Sorry....This is an extremely complex question and the number of indicators that indicate future problems for the economy frighten me. I hope I am wrong and somehow sanity returns to national fiscal policy. And, just as a corollary to this, I hope that somehow we return to a personal fiscal philosophy of: "If I can't afford it and it isn't an absolute necessity, then I don't need it today". Instant gratification is a large part of the problem.
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Bob S. former owner of a 1984 silver 944
Old 09-26-2007, 12:33 PM
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