[MRM]

My prediction:

Clinton 1st by perhaps 2 or 3 points.
Obama second, too close to call it a loss.
Edwards at precisely half of Clinton's percentage. The rest of the field in the small single digits.

I'm contributing to a Republican candidate, so it's not really my affair, but I think Obama is smarter than Clinton. He was the Editor of the Harvard Law Review. Relatively few dummies get that post. He's a former law schol prof at a top ten school, so I think he can get up to speed fast enough. Certainly she's not stupid, she did go to Yale, but she had a pretty privleged background, so it's not that impressive. Rumor has it she got better informal grades than Bill (Yale had a no grades policy back then).

Clinton's inexperience is starting to scare me. Obama knows he's inexperienced and looks like he's trying harder and is educating himself. My impression is that Clinton thinks she is experienced and pretends she knows more than she does rather than break down and admit she doesn't know something so she can learn it right the first time. Clinton recently, in two different forums, gave interviews talking about the upcoming presidential elections in Pakasta. She said something like Musharif might be the only candidate on the ballot. The problem is, Musharif was elected president a monthn or so ago. Pakistan has a parlimentary system and it is parlimentary elections that are coming up. Not to grasp the nature of the system of government in one of the most strategic countries of our time is scary.

Huckabee has had some gaffes about Pakastan, but I think that was more based on old information, Clinton's really seemed like a fundamental misunderstanding. I haven't heard many other obvious gaffes from any Republicans or Obama.

You wouldn't guess that I prefer a Republican to Obama and Obama to Clinton, would you? Huckabee is not the Republican candidate I'm backing now, but I prefer him to some others, particularly the ones from the Northeast.