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Originally Posted by tabs
Democrats and the Media are smelling a winner in Obama...Hillary is going to continue to slide as more and more people jump ship. It is called momentum. The big nudge came with Caroline endorsing and Teddy backing it up and anointing Obama. If U asked me it couldn't happen to better people than the Clintons.
The Democrats are going to have a BIG Problem if Obama walks into the Convention ahead in delegates and the polls and somehow Hillary gets the nomination. It will fracture the Party irrevocably, if not American Democracy.
Obama represents the redemption of America, the reclaiming of something we had lost with the death of JFK. Call it hope that the special interests don't rule the day, that Americans have become merely pawns in the game to be manipulated by the media and special interests. Obama talks about the big idea. Whether he can deliver on that hope, message is another story. There is a huge amount of inertia in our government and bureaucracy.
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Ha. Well, I don't know if everybody is that convinced about Obama, especially if you are over 30. I haven't heard much beef in what he has been saying, and he has been treated with kid gloves by the media--which is partly responsible for his "momentum." He has been cast in the best possible light, while Hillary has been treated badly at times.
Obama has won a lot of those caucuses where his supporters have flocked out.
But Clinton is very strong with rank and file Democrats, and women, of course.
She wins the big states--including Massachusetts, the Kennedy state, where she was supported by the city mayors--more important than Kennedy.
The same is true in PA, where the black Phila mayor is supporting her along with the popular Governor. Ohio is a labor union state--probably pro-Clinton.
Texas I guess is Hispanic--Clinton again. So Obama still has a tough road in the final big states.
My guess is the 800 superdelegates will decide it. Do they want a black or a woman, or both? Depends on the polls. I wouldn't count out Hillary yet. She overcame a lot of the negativity in NY. Very popular there.