Remember that Economists are on this earth to make weathermen look good. 
Current NHC forecasters use a weighted model to predict the direction and intensity of current storms.
Interesting read here:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/modelsummary.shtml
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Current Whip: - 2003 996 Twin Turbo - 39K miles - Lapis Blue/Grey
Past: 1974 IROC (3.6) , 1987 Cabriolet (3.4) , 1990 C2 Targa, 1989 S2
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