[imcarthur]

We will see, but Pakistan appears unruleable(?) due to it's tribal demography.

Another quote from the above:

"The future of Pakistan is a wildcard in considering the trajectory of neighboring Afghanistan [tribalism]. Pakistan’s Northwest Frontier Province and tribal areas probably will continue to be poorly governed and the source or supporter of cross-border instability. If Pakistan is unable to hold together until 2025, a broader coalescence of Pashtun tribes is likely to emerge and act together to erase the Durand Line [present disputed border with Afghanistan] maximizing Pashtun space at the expense of Punjabis in Pakistan and Tajiks and others in Afghanistan. Alternatively, the Taliban and other Islamist activists might prove able to overawe at least some tribal politics."

Ian