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jyl jyl is online now
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Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Nor California & Pac NW
Posts: 24,879
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Okay, but what is the number? That's what I am curious about.

Is there a fatality rate, whether it be 1% or 0.001%, that is likely to make you avoid an activity?

I realize most of us don't actually know the actual fatality rate associated with most of our activities. I don't, anyway.

But does that mean we also don't have any view on what fatality rate we'd consider too high?

For example, for me, I'd think 0.1% is too high, for practically any activity. A 1 in 1,000 chance of death per each day or each instance - no thanks.

0.01% or 1 in 10,000 - okay, that sounds lots better. I'll do it occassionally, if it is really fun or quite profitable. But I probably wouldn't do it every day of the year (since 365 x 1/10,000 = 3.6% per year.)

0.001% or 1 in 100,000 - I'm having a hard time mustering any concern. I'll do it every day if I feel like it.

You?
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Old 04-30-2009, 09:34 AM
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