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Tankless is great for the right application but I think, based on your needs, that a conventional water heater is the way to go. Tankless heaters are known to be short lived (I went through quiet a few of them in a resort I ran) and are very expensive. Compare the energy used of the standard heater with the tankless heater. Factor in the initial purchase price and the average lifespan and tankless rarely makes sense for most people.
Get the 40 gallon and be done with it. The "extra cost" to heat 10 more gallons over 30 is neglegible due to the thermal efficiency of todays heaters. I just, last weekend, replaced my old 30 gallon with a 40 gallon heater from home depot. The new heater uses less electricity than the smaller, old one.
Ben
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1986 3.2 Carrera
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