Quote:
Originally Posted by stomachmonkey
I don't disagree that Silverlight/MSFT will ultimately not be successful, at least not to the degree that MSFT would like.
But the ingredients are there for them to force the issue.
All that's required is an enhancement to the OS that unfortunately makes flash content a problem for system/browser stability, (a position that Apple and Google have already taken with their mobile devices) and alternatives, other than Silverlight like HTML5, to avoid the anti trust issues they faced in the past with IE and alternate browsers.
If they do that Flash is dead.
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I am not very concerned with that possibility. It is possible, but not likely.
My biggest concern is when HTML5 controls most video delivery (5-8 years?). Flash's penetration rate (Flash Player 10 is already at 97%) is so high b/c youtube is the main distributor. If youtube uses HTML5, future Flash player penetration will suffer greatly.
If this scenario is coupled with an all out attempt by Microsoft to kill Flash, well that would create a perfect storm for Flash's demise.
At that point I would suggest the Adobe no longer release their Creative Suites for Mac. The ultimate SNUB!