[jyl]

4 races left and 10 points between 1 and 2, 10 points between 2 and 3.

I think the championship likely goes to whoever can finish top three consistently with no DNF.

Alonso seems to avoid dumb mistakes - positive for him. Webber has erratic Vettel as a teammate - negative for him. Hamilton is erratic himself - negative for him. Then again, Webber is leading.

I think even money on Alonso and Webber. Which is a remarkable achievement for Alonso and Ferrari, considering how weak they were at the start of the season. If I had to choose, I bet Webber but that may just be wishes talking.