Quote:
Originally Posted by RWebb
contrary to what some know nothings have posted, more and larger extreme storms are happening now and appear to be outside of the "envelope" of the past century, much less 50 years
second, this is fully consistent with, and a prediction of most global warming models - the very simplified version: more heat means more energy in the atmosphere; that energy "comes out" as bigger storms & as more storms
the greater freq. of extreme weather events has harmed the ability of many areas to grow crops ---> hence commodity prices have gone up, esp. for grains* ---> several economists & political analysts have linked this rise to political instability (e.g. Egypt)
this is exactly what the Pentagon has predicted would happen; tho obviously the details cannot be foreseen
I expect it all to get worse.
* so far, food prices in the US have been buffered from this, in part b/c the cost of the actual grains are such a small part of the total cost here; but in Egypt and similar countries people often buy grains by the sack
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Models you say, I used to build model aeroplanes as a child. If I recall I never could get them to fly properly.
The data collected over the last 50 to 100 years is an impressive predictor of future weather trends as it is so comprehensive of weather trends over time as referenced to geologic time.
I do find your meteorologic scientists are full of conceit and arrogance to think that their models and 100 years of collected data is in anyway a true reflection of global weather patterns. You might just call this a pseudoscience..as the data collected is so miniscule in the scheme of Global time.