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I find gold impossible to value. All you are doing is guessing how people are going to feel about a yellow shiny near useless metal tomorrow.
If you have a sizable position in gold, and are considering that this may be the top, you might want to concider using options to protect your investment. I doubt options will be cheap on gold because of it's volatility, but it could be a very worthwhile investment decision. Correctly done an option position would allow you to still take advantage of upward price movement, but limit your downside risk.
Rich
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