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I've got an impression that the failure rate is much higher. But you are right, independent repair people are like doctors, they only see sick patients.
As a PS one of my customers with an 02 boxster bought a crate motor 2.5 years ago (35k) because of an IMS failure; this time I did an oil change and found the filter full of metal.
And to add insult to injury, I checked PET about two weeks ago and the prices of the early engines doubled from 9k to 18k. This will really total a lot of the early cars as the cost of repair will be two to three times value of the car.
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