[gregwils]

It is impossible to guess the actual number remaining. I think the big thing to remember is that the current valuation dramatically influences how quickly the herd shrinks. Many have ended up with owners of lower means and they get less maintenance at a time they need more.

A clapped out 3.2 that sells for $12k and has a tired suspension, consuming oil/needs head work, first gear syncro and clutch is toast and the A/C is dead, maybe brakes, plus gobbs of little stuff needs a massive investment. Even 911's that look pretty good and seem to be reasonably well maintained can need a lot of expensive repair.

If you do the work yourself, you're could easily be looking at $10-15k on a really tired car. If you hire it done, think $15-25k more in labor. Who would make that type of investment. Not many. It's why Bruce Anderson and everyone says get the best one you can find/afford.

Many, many clapped out 911's will be sold off for parts over the next 10 years, but I stil don't expect large changes in value. My expectation for appreciation is to average at or slightly above inflation for the next twenty years or so. I initially wanted to keep low miles to keep the value up, but I decided that was nuts and I should just enjoy the car.