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From the CR Board

tabs 01/19/2012 04:56 PM

Mr Rose asks, "Is there any back channel communication between the US and Iran, and would you know who it is?" Why silly, it is you of course Mr Rose. After all Mr Khazaee did say he was there to "officially negotiate" which came as no surprise as one had already thought as much earlier in the interview. Much of the problem between Iran and the US is a misunderstanding by BOTH parties of the true meaning of the rhetoric involved. One thinks that the Iranians keep on telling the US, "See here (waving a piece of paper under Mr Roses nose) the rhetoric by your politicians is inflammatory too." So it becomes a matter of the pot calling the kettle black by BOTH PARTIES.


To move on, the ratcheting up of rhetoric on the Iranians part is the fact that as one heats a plate covered with ants the more quickly the ants scurry about. This is a manifestation of desperation and attending instability on the part of the Iranians. There is an increasing likelihood of a mistake on the Iranians part which could give the US and its Allies the excuse needed to take out the Iranian military and nuclear capacity. On the other hand one hopes that the US is hoping that the current sanctions will bring Iran to heel on its nuclear aspirations. However if the former should take place the blow back in the region would be substantial and create an even bigger mess than the US and Allies already face. The Iranians will not go easily.


As far as the passive agressive stance towards Iran by the current occupant in the WH and the jingoistic paranoia of a number of Republican candidates one does not think that so far these people have or are playing with full decks. But we shall see what Hillary comes up with next? Will she try and start a conversation with Larijani?

Now comes Part 2


As a point of clarification, one thinks that even if the Iranian military and nuclear capacity are neutralized the Iranians would still have the threat and or capability of disrupting the oil supply from the ME. This would be accomplished by covert or asymmetrical operations. This in affect would disrupt an already fragile world economy that is recovering from the financial crisis of 2008. In other words how does $200 to $400 USD a barrel of oil strike ya, and how does that affect your economy Mr President?


Then beyond the Nuclear weapon capability of Iranian comes the other dirty word of Biological and or Chemical weapons capability of Iran? What exactly does US and Israeli intel have to say about that? These little incidentials should be thought through very carefully as one does not want to make a mistake in judgement here.