When I was in my teens, I was a very good and cocky pool shooter..I once made a remark to my good friend that I could beat him ten straight games..He said, "
your real good, but I think I'll get you at least one game in ten"..The bet was $20 and all he had to do was win one game..We flipped a coin to see who would break the 1st game..He won the toss, broke and sank the eight ball

All my talent was meaningless...What are the odds of him sinking the eight ball on the break, of the 1st game of that bet ? He was lucky, and I was humbled..I deserved it big time !