Quote:
Originally Posted by sand_man
I'm not good at this "new math", where do Jorge and Rossi both have to finish for Rossi to claim the championship? And if by some chance it ends in a tie, Jorge would win due to the number of outright victories?
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Rossi has a 7 point lead, 312 to 305. Lorenzo has two more wins, 6 to 4. So, Lorenzo has to score 7 points more than Rossi at Valencia, to win the title. If he scores 6 or less more than Rossi, Rossi wins.
1st place = 25 points
2nd place = 20 points
3rd place = 16 points
4th place = 13 points
5th place = 11 points
6th place = 10 points
7th place = 9 points
8th place = 8 points
9th place = 7 points
10th place = 6 points
11th place = 5 points
12th place = 4 points
13th place = 3 points
14th place = 2 points
15th place = 1 point
All that Rossi has to do is finish directly behind Jorge. Jorge has to have at least one rider between him and Rossi, no matter where he finishes. If he doesn't finish first or second, he'll need more than one rider in between him and Rossi.
Rossi wins if:
Lorenzo 1st, Rossi 2nd
Lorenzo 2nd, Rossi 3rd
Lorenzo 3rd, Rossi 6th
Lorenzo 4th, Rossi 9th
Etc.
The only three guys with a realistic shot at the win are all Spanish, racing the last race in Spain. Each of the three has a win there in the last three years. Rossi's last win there was in 2004. It will be interesting to see how hard the Honda guys race Lorenzo. If they elect to go for the win and get ahead of Lorenzo, Vale has a pretty good chance. If Lorenzo finds the pace to run away from the Hondas, or if they don't push him, Vale hasn't got a prayer. Right now, the weather is expected to be mostly sunny for the race weekend.
JR