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I've been driving on the track for 25 years and instructing for 20+ years, mostly with PCA in the northeast. In my experience, crashes in novice groups are pretty rare. Frankly it's hard to crash if you are driving sensibly and following your instructor's advice. I guess there may be some bad instructors, but from what I've seen, most PCA groups are pretty rigorous in vetting instructors, and the instructors are good enough to keep novice students out of trouble. I've heard some other groups instructors are less rigorous in choosing instructors, but I don't have any evidence to support that.
Most incidents happen in the intermediate and advanced groups, from what I've seen. If a novice student is driving over his/her head enough to crash, then shame on the instructor for letting it get to that point!
I have seen a few mechanical failures over the years that resulted in accidents, but my anecdotal "evidence" tells me that's not very common.
Scott
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