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If I do the arithmetic you'll only have 1" of lag screw go into the stud. I don't think that will hold against the rotation downward force. Are you planning any knid of other support underneath the mantle?
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Si non potes inimicum tuum vincere, habeas eum amicum and ride a big blue trike.
"'Bipartisan' usually means that a larger-than-usual deception is being carried out."
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