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A Man of Wealth and Taste
 
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Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Out there somewhere beyond the doors of perception
Posts: 51,063
Quote:
Originally Posted by ckelly78z View Post
The good thing about going through so much strife in my life, is that I am supremely confident that I don't make quick, rash decisions, I do not get panicky, or freeze up when faced with death. I am also a very quiet person that doesn't spout off at the mouth about any injustice, I choose to survey a situation, and take the best path.

My son is a senior defensive end on the football team, and has always been known as "Silent Kelly" because he just doesn't say much, but the coaches see what he has, and made him captain this year.

I do tend to generalize, and stereotype some people (not racist) but I see the way certain people act/react to situations, and tend to expect the same behavior from them in the future.
I see behavior patterns in people, economic markets and in the societies of nation states. Not only that but I know what, how and why they act the way that they do. I have taken a subjective subject and practically quantified it. It has become just a matter of fact, of it being the way it is...no and's if's or buts. It is just going to happen that way. Some might even think that it has a predictive quality.

For example for the past several months I have been saying the economy would rebound from the .7 % growth rate of the 1ST Qtr 16 (later revised to 1.1%), but not robust growth. I recently posted between 1.5% and 2% (you can look it up in these archives). Yesterday the Atlanta FED gave advanced data that the economy was going to show 1.8% growth down from their previsions forecast of 2.3% growth. Remember I have long been saying growth at the rate of population increase.

No mystery folks just an accurate, clearly defined appraisal of the situation. I can just see where it is going and sure enough it goes there. It is like reading a road map and charting out your path to a destination. Take the 5 N to 605 Freeway N to the 10 freeway west until you get to the Slauson cutoff.

You folks have no conception of the existential angst and pain that I had to go through to arrive at the promised land. Almost none of you would ever be willing to pay the price. As an example of knowing what true despair is, is in being able to define the difference between hope and faith. Hope is when you can see the light at the end of the tunnel and can say I hope to get there one day. Faith is when you see no light and the next step you take is on faith that one day you will see the light so that you can hope to get there.

There is no ego in what I do, some times there is bombast and that is just to fk with your heads. In appraising myself I can safely say that I have transcended the self for whatever that means, I have become part of something far larger in scope. It is as if I am floating in a sea of time and space. Some people may make a negative comment about that, but those words have no sway in the matter and are of no consequence for what I say is just the way it is, an accurate appraisal.

To come to an accurate appraisal you have to continually construct and deconstruct the data to test the accuracy of your conclusion. In many if not most cases considerable torment or existential angst of wrestling back and forth with the data is involved in coming to a resolution. As I said not many are willing to go all the way down the line every time.
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