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-   -   Gas prices are... um well, wait a minute (http://forums.pelicanparts.com/showthread.php?t=1132027)

JackDidley 06-02-2024 08:18 AM

I paid $3.77 for 93 at Sams this week.

stevej37 06-02-2024 08:31 AM

$3.24/reg $4.24/prem here this am.

Chocaholic 06-02-2024 09:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Seahawk (Post 12259541)
Numbers are not there:

What percentage of electric cars are on U.S. roads?

From Experian's numbers, 1% translates to 3 million new and used electric cars on U.S. roads — out of 288.5 million registered vehicles of all fuel types — as of the third quarter of 2023. That's up from the 2 million electric cars on the road in 2022, and by 2030, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory predicts there could be 30 million to 42 million EVs on U.S. roads.
.

That is just the US and the projected numbers are total EV's, not per year.

Then, of course, power required and the infrastructure needed. I support the effort, I am just realistic about logistics.

I agree that the numbers are not there…today. My point was that their strategy is a step in favor of future EV acceptance. Keep gas expensive and the calculus may look different a decade from now.

Sooner or later 06-02-2024 09:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sooner or later (Post 12250802)

Down a bit over the last 2 weeks.

http://forums.pelicanparts.com/uploa...1717350645.jpg

Bob Kontak 06-02-2024 03:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fanaudical (Post 11882719)
I predict gas prices will continue to creep upward just to push both the "car free" and "get an EV" agendas...

Electric cars my ask. It's a simple formula - we react. No one in the US controls or manipulates big picture oil price.

OPEC is throttling back production and will through 2025. Prices will rise.

Bob Kontak 06-03-2024 03:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bob Kontak (Post 12259795)
No one in the US controls or manipulates big picture oil price.

Are we going to argue or what?

Happy Monday!!

wdfifteen 06-03-2024 04:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bob Kontak (Post 12259795)
No one in the US controls or manipulates big picture oil price.

You won’t get any argument from me.
We don’t now and never can control the big oil picture. The only significant effect we can have on the global oil picture is through a drastic cut in consumption.

cockerpunk 06-03-2024 07:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chocaholic (Post 12259581)
I agree that the numbers are not there…today. My point was that their strategy is a step in favor of future EV acceptance. Keep gas expensive and the calculus may look different a decade from now.

the incentive to keep gas prices high is profit, not EV adoption. if you think oil companies are keeping the price of oil high in order to drive you to buying an EV, i dont even have words to explain how dumb that is. that is a level of dumb i dont think any human could stoop to.

the only way public policy is going to drive oil prices down is nationalization. otherwise the oil companies, and the oil market, is going to drive to the highest price it can for profit. this is capitalism 101. there is no market incentive to keep gas cheaper than the highest price you are willing to pay at the pump to keep your ICE car.

ie, if you are a die hard ICE fanboi, your inelastic need for gas, is part of the reason why gas prices are high. your unwillingness to consider alternatives means they can keep charging you big money. because you have self-selected to need gas. those of us who are more flexible in our transportation and heating needs, and the threat of adoption of those technologies/lifestyles/habits, is the only pressure to keep prices low. or the threat of nationalization, which in the USA is politically unpopular, for what reason, i dont know, but it is.

TLDR: its a market, its works like a market. if you need it, they can charge more money for it. if you want cheap gas, look for alternatives, or nationalization. if you want expensive gas, then rely on it more.

wdfifteen 06-03-2024 07:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cockerpunk (Post 12260098)
i dont even have words to explain how dumb that is. that is a level of dumb i dont think any human could stoop to.

Could you PLEASE not bring PARF attitude to PPOT? There are some interesting and important topics we could discuss here if we treat each other respectfully.
Thank you.

cockerpunk 06-03-2024 08:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by wdfifteen (Post 12260114)
Could you PLEASE not bring PARF attitude to PPOT? There are some interesting and important topics we could discuss here if we treat each other respectfully.
Thank you.

idk what to tell folks who think an oil company wants to force you to switch to an EV.

thats like thinking arbys wants you to eat vegan. or apple wants you to switch to android.

like, its nonsense. a 100% bad idea that has no place in any discussion.

Paul T 06-03-2024 08:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bob Kontak (Post 12260004)
Are we going to argue or what?

Happy Monday!!

lol, no argument here, you are 100% correct. Now go post that in PARF if you want some arguments! Many in there have some wild misconceptions about how oil markets work.

Flat Six 06-03-2024 09:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Evans, Marv (Post 12259544)
^^^^^^^^ Gasoline here is over $5/gal. Diesel is even more expensive. I'm lucky I only drive my Ford van once in a while & actually mostly to exercise it since I don't drive it much. We mostly use my wife's EV for everyday driving. I just got my true up statement from the power company, and my monthly cost for powering an electric house and car came to around $45/mo. That's also thanks to my solar panels. CA will eventually pass a mileage tax (in addition to the approx. $1.60/gal. gas tax) to make up for the revenue lost from EVs and increased fuel efficiency of gas powered vehicles). Even that won't hurt too much (I hope), since at this time in life, I drive less.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bob Kontak (Post 12259795)
Electric cars my ask. It's a simple formula - we react. No one in the US controls or manipulates big picture oil price.

OPEC is throttling back production and will through 2025. Prices will rise.

Quote:

Originally Posted by cockerpunk (Post 12260098)
the incentive to keep gas prices high is profit, not EV adoption. if you think oil companies are keeping the price of oil high in order to drive you to buying an EV, i dont even have words to explain how dumb that is. that is a level of dumb i dont think any human could stoop to.

the only way public policy is going to drive oil prices down is nationalization. otherwise the oil companies, and the oil market, is going to drive to the highest price it can for profit. this is capitalism 101. there is no market incentive to keep gas cheaper than the highest price you are willing to pay at the pump to keep your ICE car.

ie, if you are a die hard ICE fanboi, your inelastic need for gas, is part of the reason why gas prices are high. your unwillingness to consider alternatives means they can keep charging you big money. because you have self-selected to need gas. those of us who are more flexible in our transportation and heating needs, and the threat of adoption of those technologies/lifestyles/habits, is the only pressure to keep prices low. or the threat of nationalization, which in the USA is politically unpopular, for what reason, i dont know, but it is.

TLDR: its a market, its works like a market. if you need it, they can charge more money for it. if you want cheap gas, look for alternatives, or nationalization. if you want expensive gas, then rely on it more.

Gas prices aren't subject to just market forces; governments can exert a fair bit of influence over pump prices (IMHO more to raise prices than to reduce them). Regulatory restrictions, depleting the SPR, and -- most directly -- taxes are all government interventions into markets. For example (emphasis added):

"California’s prices are the highest in the country—$5.21 a gallon on average vs. $3.59 nationwide—owing to hefty taxes and burdensome regulations, such as its cap-and-trade program and low-carbon fuel standard. Here’s the rub: California refineries supply nearly 90% of Nevada’s gasoline and half of Arizona’s.

Mr. Newsom is escalating his war on the industry. The California Energy Commission is planning to impose a tax on refineries’ “gross margins”—i.e., the difference between wholesale gasoline and crude prices plus certain regulatory costs. The gross margin notably doesn’t include refiners’ operating costs, which include employee pay.

Mr. Newsom conflates profits and gross margins. According to the commission’s data, refiners lost between 10 and 38 cents on each gallon they produced from October 2023 through February 2024, while their gross margins ranged from 56 to 79 cents a gallon. In December, California refineries lost 31 cents a gallon while the state imposed $1.15 a gallon in taxes and regulatory fees.

The price gougers in Sacramento now want to penalize drivers even more. Mr. Newsom is pushing the commission to finalize the refinery tax at the same time as the California Air Resources Board, or CARB, prepares to tighten its low-carbon fuel standard and greenhouse-gas emissions cap. These regulations add about 54 cents to the price of each gallon of gasoline. CARB’s rules will increase the cost by an estimated 88 cents a gallon in 2026 and $1.01 by 2031."


https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/california-governor-escalates-war-gasoline-impacting-neighboring-states

https://mishtalk.com/economics/california-governor-escalates-the-war-on-gasoline-impacting-neighboring-states/

https://www.wsj.com/articles/gavin-newsoms-battleground-gift-to-donald-trump-281dc5ca

rockfan4 06-03-2024 09:32 AM

We're using this thread now?

Before Memorial day, reg was around $3.09/gal.
About a week before Memorial day, it went up to $3.24, then settled at $3.19.
Now here we are a week later, back down to $3.04.

Anyone been to a Love's gas station lately?
There's one on I-90 between La Crosse and Rochester, and we usually stop there. The last time I was there, no 87 octane E10. Just 88 E15, 89 E15, and 91 E10. There's a Sinclair on the other side of the interstate that matches their price and still has 87 E10, so I guess I'll be stopping there from now on.

cockerpunk 06-03-2024 10:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Flat Six (Post 12260179)
Gas prices aren't subject to just market forces; governments can exert a fair bit of influence over pump prices (IMHO more to raise prices than to reduce them). Regulatory restrictions, depleting the SPR, and -- most directly -- taxes are all government interventions into markets. For example (emphasis added):

"California’s prices are the highest in the country—$5.21 a gallon on average vs. $3.59 nationwide—owing to hefty taxes and burdensome regulations, such as its cap-and-trade program and low-carbon fuel standard. Here’s the rub: California refineries supply nearly 90% of Nevada’s gasoline and half of Arizona’s.

Mr. Newsom is escalating his war on the industry. The California Energy Commission is planning to impose a tax on refineries’ “gross margins”—i.e., the difference between wholesale gasoline and crude prices plus certain regulatory costs. The gross margin notably doesn’t include refiners’ operating costs, which include employee pay.

Mr. Newsom conflates profits and gross margins. According to the commission’s data, refiners lost between 10 and 38 cents on each gallon they produced from October 2023 through February 2024, while their gross margins ranged from 56 to 79 cents a gallon. In December, California refineries lost 31 cents a gallon while the state imposed $1.15 a gallon in taxes and regulatory fees.

The price gougers in Sacramento now want to penalize drivers even more. Mr. Newsom is pushing the commission to finalize the refinery tax at the same time as the California Air Resources Board, or CARB, prepares to tighten its low-carbon fuel standard and greenhouse-gas emissions cap. These regulations add about 54 cents to the price of each gallon of gasoline. CARB’s rules will increase the cost by an estimated 88 cents a gallon in 2026 and $1.01 by 2031."


https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/california-governor-escalates-war-gasoline-impacting-neighboring-states

https://mishtalk.com/economics/california-governor-escalates-the-war-on-gasoline-impacting-neighboring-states/

https://www.wsj.com/articles/gavin-newsoms-battleground-gift-to-donald-trump-281dc5ca

the last thing an oil company wants to do is lower the price of oil, the second to last thing an oil company wants to do is pump more oil.

they love that you are mad at the government for this, instead of them. they love that you are cling to how critical oil is in your life, instead of finding alternatives. the love that you refuse to change. they love it, cause it makes them money.

this really isnt complicated or political. its just capitalism. they have you simping for them, while they laugh all the way to the bank.

Bob Kontak 06-04-2024 04:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cockerpunk (Post 12260214)
......... they have you simping for them, while they laugh all the way to the bank.

Except for when it's not green grass and high tides (see what I did there?).

It gets pretty bleak after a couple years of a really depressed oil price.

Hard to feel sorry for big oil but the employees can get beat up really badly.

cockerpunk 06-04-2024 06:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bob Kontak (Post 12260629)
Except for when it's not green grass and high tides (see what I did there?).

It gets pretty bleak after a couple years of a really depressed oil price.

Hard to feel sorry for big oil but the employees can get beat up really badly.

its a boom and bust industry for sure.

thats why they like the medium high, steady price and will use every market force they can to keep it that way.

wdfifteen 06-04-2024 10:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cockerpunk (Post 12260136)
idk what to tell folks who think an oil company wants to force you to switch to an EV.

thats like thinking arbys wants you to eat vegan. or apple wants you to switch to android.

like, its nonsense. a 100% bad idea that has no place in any discussion.

Are you saying you aren’t capable of engaging in a respectful way?

fintstone 06-04-2024 11:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by wdfifteen (Post 12259505)
We are like puppets and OPEC+ is pulling our strings. We need to get control of our economy, not leave it in the hands of OPEC+.

The only reason OPEC+ can pull strings is because we choose to not produce enough inexpensively enough ourselves to keep prices low. Largely because our government gets in the way. Yes, it is a choice...both at the state and Federal level. Even certain cities and counties. Yes, the intent is to force electric cars on the populace by making gasoline automobile less affordable while subsidizing EVs. It is a poor plan that has been poorly executed.

Shaun @ Tru6 06-04-2024 12:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fintstone (Post 12260857)
The only reason OPEC+ can pull strings is because we choose to not produce enough inexpensively enough ourselves to keep prices low. Largely because our government gets in the way. Yes, it is a choice...both at the state and Federal level. Even certain cities and counties. Yes, the intent is to force electric cars on the populace by making gasoline automobile less affordable while subsidizing EVs. It is a poor plan that has been poorly executed.

You don't understand how oil in general, and types of oil is priced, bought and sold.

US leads global oil production for sixth straight year- EIA

By Reuters
March 11, 202412:16 PM EDTUpdated 3 months ago

March 11 (Reuters) - U.S. crude oil production lead global oil production for a sixth straight year, with a record breaking average production of 12.9 million barrels per day (bpd), the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said in a release on Monday.

In December, U.S. crude oil production hit a new monthly record high of over 13.3 million bpd, the agency said.

"The United States produced more crude oil than any nation at any time, according to our International Energy Statistics, for the past six years in a row," the EIA added.

The EIA says it is unlikely that the record will be broken by another country in the near term.

Elsewhere, Saudi Arabia's government in January ordered Aramco to halt its oil expansion plan and to target a maximum sustained production capacity of 12 million barrels per day (bpd), one million bpd below a target announced in 2020.

Global benchmark Brent fell on Monday, dipping below $82 a barrel, as persistent geopolitical concerns in the Middle East and Russia collide with jitters about softening demand in China.

Shaun @ Tru6 06-04-2024 12:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fintstone (Post 12260857)
The only reason OPEC+ can pull strings is because we choose to not produce enough inexpensively enough ourselves to keep prices low. Largely because our government gets in the way. Yes, it is a choice...both at the state and Federal level. Even certain cities and counties. Yes, the intent is to force electric cars on the populace by making gasoline automobile less affordable while subsidizing EVs. It is a poor plan that has been poorly executed.

You will also want to read this

OPEC+ extends deep oil production cuts into 2025

By Ahmad Ghaddar, Alex Lawler and Maha El Dahan
June 2, 20249:08 AM EDTUpdated an hour ago

LONDON/DUBAI, June 2 (Reuters) - OPEC+ agreed on Sunday to extend most of its deep oil output cuts for 2024 but to start phasing them out in 2025, as the group seeks to shore up the market amid tepid global demand growth, high interest rates and rising rival U.S. production.

Oil prices trade near $80 per barrel, below what many OPEC+ members need to balance their budget. Worries over slow demand growth in top oil importer China have weighed on prices alongside rising oil stocks in developed economies.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies led by Russia, together known as OPEC+, have made a series of deep output cuts since late 2022.

OPEC+ members are currently cutting output by a total of 5.86 million barrels per day (bpd), or about 5.7% of global demand.

The cuts include 2 million bpd by all OPEC+ members, the first round of voluntary cuts by nine members of 1.66 million bpd, and the second round of voluntary cuts by eight members of 2.2 million bpd.

OPEC+ extended the the first round of cuts until the end of 2025 from the end of 2024, the group said in a statement.

It also agreed to extend the third round of voluntary cuts into the third quarter of 2024, OPEC+ sources said, adding that more details were being worked out and would be announced on Sunday.

The countries which have made voluntary cuts in the second round are Algeria, Iraq, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Oman, Russia, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates and Gabon. The same countries except Gabon participated in the third round.

The group also agreed to allocate the United Arab Emirates a higher production quota of 3.5 million bpd in 2025, up from the current level of 2.9 million.

OPEC+ also postponed the deadline for an independent assessment of its members' production capacities to the end of November 2025 from June 2024. The figures will be used as guidance for 2026 reference production levels.

OPEC+ will hold its next meeting on Dec. 1, 2024.[/QUOTE]


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