| jeffgrant |
03-14-2009 11:52 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by jyl
(Post 4544263)
I am going to predict that the box office drops off rather precipitously after the first weekend such that the movie is not a commercial success.
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The director (Zack Snyder) intentionally made the film to cater to those that have read the graphic novel and had some understanding of the context before seeing the movie. He also stayed remarkably true to the original content (with the exception of the ending).
Therefore it's no big surprise that the movie does not do a good job as a standalone movie, as that previous knowledge is almost required to enjoy it. Unless you're just into big blue penises and cool blow-em-up special effects.
I bet it easily makes more than enough in DVD sales that it will be a commercial success. It might even be able to do that from the box office, but it'll be close.
Many people that I know have intentions of seeing the movie, and the vast majority of them are just waiting for the original throngs of kids to die down a bit before they do. Don't forget that this graphic novel came out 20+ years ago, so the legions of old-school fans of this movie will be much, much older than the typical "rush to the movie the first weekend it's out" crowd. They would also tend to get the whole "cold war" headspace better than the youth of today.
So yes, I think the numbers will die off compared to the opening weekend, but not completely, and they will remain significant for a while yet. Also, it's important to realize that the exceptionally long running time of the movie results in a significantly decreased number of people that are physically able to see the movie on the opening weekend.
$0.02
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