Hurricane Dorian

[astrochex]

Argh, this is turning my stomach into knots.

Jim, I do find it interesting that Melbourne was one of your destinations. I am praying this sucker somehow stays east more than predictions.

[CurtEgerer]

Now it looks like this thing is going to park off shore and churn until Tues before turning north. I guess that's good. Unless you're on the Bahamas or surrounding islands.

[nota]

175 mph at 9:30 am est cat 5 ++

[Jims5543]

Originally Posted by nota

175 mph at 9:30 am est cat 5 ++

Pressure is almost identical to Andrew except this one is much bigger.

Really hoping to see that turn.

My wife is a bad influence. She came out this morning and asked if I wanted to ride our bikes downtown for breakfast. So we did.

We hit up Publix for some last minute groceries, like creamer I checked out the store, plenty of milk, water and bread.

Gas stations are all open and have gas.

A couple hours behind schedule, time to go tidy up the backyard and pool deck.

Then we wait.. .

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[Tobra]

If'n it sits off the coast like that, Florida and Georgia are likely to get a couple feet of rain

[p911dad]

I have been watching this for quite a while now. Question - why is the storm now forecast to make a sharp turn north as it passes Grand Bahama? Is there some greater weather system taking over the track. Good luck to all of you in the storm's path!

[Baz]

Originally Posted by p911dad

I have been watching this for quite a while now. Question - why is the storm now forecast to make a sharp turn north as it passes Grand Bahama? Is there some greater weather system taking over the track. Good luck to all of you in the storm's path!

This video does a pretty good job of explaining what is happening:

[Baz]

[carreradpt]

This thing is a giant. Have just a few things to do that are easy peasy. Start draining the pool down a foot plus. Emergency exit door panels are the last thing to go on the house. And the waiting game is on for us mid coastal Florida folks. The worst part when you just have time to think about all the things the reporters are warning us about.

We took a walk around the hood this morning and were very surprised that there were so many homes w/o shutters. But was happy to report that the dumbasses that put piles of yard waste out on the street during the last cane did not repeat, at least so far.

The Sandhills have been out and about and stopped in to say good luck or were maybe asking us for a safe haven, not sure.

[nota]

Originally Posted by p911dad

I have been watching this for quite a while now. Question - why is the storm now forecast to make a sharp turn north as it passes Grand Bahama? Is there some greater weather system taking over the track. Good luck to all of you in the storm's path!

high pressure ridge to the north that was blocking it is getting weaker
and opening a path north as the push west weakens

it maybe turning NOW
or it maybe a wobble
but eventually it will turn Q is when

[carreradpt]

PLEASE, PLEASE be soon. The Bahamas are just taking a beating. Just awful to think how they are faring.

[RWebb]

Originally Posted by jyl

So current forecast is that Dorian most likely curves up along the coast and never makes landfall? That's good, right?

not good, but not as bad as it could be...

[p911dad]

Thanks Baz, good stuff. I were a betting man, I don't know where I would put my money. Hope it goes sharp NE out to sea.

[javadog]

Strongest storm in 80 years...

[astrochex]

The winds they showed from the Euro model for brevard county were not as bad as i feared, roughly 50 mph max. Had Santa Anas in SoCal stronger than that.

[Baz]

Originally Posted by astrochex

The winds they showed from the Euro model for brevard county were not as bad as i feared, roughly 50 mph max. Had Santa Anas in SoCal stronger than that.

Don't forget when the location for Cape Canaveral was selected, one of the considerations was the tendency of the Gulf Stream to steer storms outward (eastward) and away from land.

Should provide some comfort for those in Brevard County.

[KFC911]

Originally Posted by astrochex

The winds they showed from the Euro model for brevard county were not as bad as i feared, roughly 50 mph max. Had Santa Anas in SoCal stronger than that.

This storm will likely dump a bunh of H2O on the left side of the eye....it ain't over by a long shot. Eastern NC became a lake during Mathew recently and last year's flooded my property pretty good last year .

Stay safe and don't let down your guard...

Computer modeling is just that ....

[astrochex]

Originally Posted by KC911

This storm will likely dump a bunh of H2O on the left side of the eye....it ain't over by a long shot. Eastern NC became a lake during Mathew recently and last year's flooded my property pretty good last year .

Stay safe and don't let down your guard...

Computer modeling is just that ....

Oh I’m reminded every five minutes a Cat 5 storm is headed my way. Water is my main concern.

Baz, I did not know that about Cape Canaveral. Great info

[Jims5543]

Stress level? 15 on a scale of 1-10.

If it does not turn tomorrow? 20 on a scale of 1-10.

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[Captain Ahab Jr]

I grew up just south of the eye is now, not a nice feeling being boarded up in a house waiting for it to pass

Sounds like the Abaco got hit hard

Good luck, stay safe and hope it turns away