| RoninLB |
05-13-2004 06:44 PM |
Quote:
Originally posted by Z-man
Only if he makes the team. Given his present performance, you've gotta be a pretty dumb coach to bring him on...
-Z.
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not dumb at all.
I think the DNC master plan is for Hillary to get drafted for VP. The Clinton books are timed to hopefully cause this event. If the Dems lose Hillary is set for a 2008 run anyway. Worst DNC case is the Dems winning and Hillary in 2012.. actually a John McCain for VP may be enough to be a winner: but that's NG for Hillary and the DNC power being controled by B Clinton and DNC chairman Mcafferty[sic]
and IMO, it doesn't matter very much who the Dem's have to run against GW.. the vote is decided by the issue of if your for or against GW.. If the economy stays on this upward part of the curve the Dem's will probably lose. Even though we're at war the economy has traditionally decided the election; even in times of war.
The stock and bond mkts are probably being influenced by the uncertianity of the election because it may be a different gov't influence on the mkts if the Dem's win. The mkt's know GW's agenda, so than can be figured in already somewhat. I believe now is a good time to dump some $ in the stock market. The liquidity could have easily caused a 15% increase this year already. The mkt advances are zero so far this year. May being a slow market month is also contributing to a flat mkt. The Huge possibility of an economic problem for many reasons has been weathered successfully over the past 1 1/2 - 2yrs. The possibility of cash being King is now a remote possibility. It can be argued that a bond mkt collapse can happen.. but I have confidence that it won't happen based on the previous 2 sentences profile.
and FWIW the wide stock mkt forecast curve was between
0-20% for 2004. the median was around 7-10%. I bet on either of the extremes generally. So now I figure stock mkt advancing 20% in 2004.
I'm not an expert. I'm a card player. My bet is in motion.
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