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-   -   777 down (http://forums.pelicanparts.com/showthread.php?t=800169)

livi 03-16-2014 10:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by stealthn (Post 7965111)
Here's my thought: this was a trial run to see A. If it could be done, and B: what the result would be.

They disabled all communications then turned the plane and flew it until it ran out of gas and crashed in the ocean.

No they have to figure out who it was and where the plane is.

This. Scary.

widgeon13 03-17-2014 03:52 AM

If that plane takes off from some airport it will have fighter jets on it's a$$ like flies on ****!

Holger 03-17-2014 04:35 AM

Ummmm, if it was not possible to track it some week ago, why should it be possible/easy to track it now?

futuresoptions 03-17-2014 04:37 AM

Definitely one of the weirdest stories in a while...

widgeon13 03-17-2014 05:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Holger (Post 7965416)
Ummmm, if it was not possible to track it some week ago, why should it be possible/easy to track it now?


Because now it's a threat.

cashflyer 03-17-2014 05:26 AM

This is what planes look like on radar; a dot:

http://www.adacel.com/Assets/Radar%20Pic%204.jpg

The additional info is either input by ATC when the squawk is assigned, or on all Mode S transponders it is an automatic data feed WHICH THE OWNER PROGRAMS IN.

In other words, the primary return for a 777 looks exactly the same as a 757 or an A340. The "badguys" only have to reprogram the transponder (10 minute job) and be departing from a complicit or ignorant country.

I could go out to my helicopter and reprogram the transponder to read the code for MH370 and the local ATC would not know that I was not an airliner (except that my speed would be too slow).

pavulon 03-17-2014 05:36 AM

could the transponder be re-programmed in flight?

cockerpunk 03-17-2014 05:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rick Lee (Post 7965296)
I wonder if our gov't. really knows the whole story, but wants to let someone else break it, so as to not reveal our methods and capabilities. Maybe they have set a deadline for coming clean if no one else does by x/x/14.

we have military assets in the area, esp in the Indian ocean, which would have had at least some primary radar running at the time. the farther it flew, the better chance there is that a US navy asset saw it on primary radar.

the USA and india have been pretty firm and for no really good cited reason that it went west, i bet thats why.

widgeon13 03-17-2014 05:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cashflyer (Post 7965445)
This is what planes look like on radar; a dot:



http://www.adacel.com/Assets/Radar%20Pic%204.jpg



The additional info is either input by ATC when the squawk is assigned, or on all Mode S transponders it is an automatic data feed WHICH THE OWNER PROGRAMS IN.



In other words, the primary return for a 777 looks exactly the same as a 757 or an A340. The "badguys" only have to reprogram the transponder (10 minute job) and be departing from a complicit or ignorant country.



I could go out to my helicopter and reprogram the transponder to read the code for MH370 and the local ATC would not know that I was not an airliner (except that my speed would be too slow).


All true except they have to file.

onewhippedpuppy 03-17-2014 06:23 AM

Cash, that's representative of ATC radar. I believe most military radar is higher fidelity.

cashflyer 03-17-2014 06:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pavulon (Post 7965455)
could the transponder be re-programmed in flight?

I don't know about all, but I know the one on my helicopter could.
Quote:

Originally Posted by widgeon13 (Post 7965467)
All true except they have to file.

And? You call in your flight plan (or file on DUATS) and indicate that you are a G-450, N450SW.
You've already reprogrammed your Mode S transponder with the hexadecimal code "AD364C"
You get into the air, your speed checks out, your code checks out, and as far as ATC is concerned, you are N450SW.
Unless somebody physically SEES this 777 in the air (you did repaint it, right?) then nobody is the wiser.

You're crossing the ADIZ on a valid flight plan. Your target is LA, which is also the required landing point for port of entry. So nobody realizes you are rogue until you ignore ATC vectors. You're already over downtown LA before intercepts out of Edwards can arrive. Even if you are intercepted, you now squawk 7500 or you give a 'mayday' for mechanical malfunctions. They have to get permission to shoot down. By then, you have nosed the 777 over into the heart of the city. Maybe with a nuke on board, maybe not.

LeRoux Strydom 03-17-2014 07:15 AM

What do the experts make of the SIA68 theory? Supposedly, MH370 could have followed Singapore Airlines flight 68 using its radar "shadow" as cover into Indian airspace (then into Pakistan and possibly Iran) after meeting up with SIA68 west of Malaysia shortly after the Malaysian military radar lost contact with it.

cashflyer 03-17-2014 07:20 AM

Early on, I theorized that they went to Pakistan.
While a 777 could make it to Iran, they were destined for Beijing. Unless they had a reason to be carrying the extra fuel, they would not have enough to get to Iran (IMO).

If they were shadowing another plane closely enough to avoid making a separate radar return, that other planes TCAS would have been screaming the whole time. My bet is that they dropped below long range ATC radar coverage. However this does not account for why naval radar would not have picked them up. A 777 flying at 300ft over the ocean is not an everyday occurrence.

futuresoptions 03-17-2014 07:22 AM

Yahoo News stated this morning that there is reason to believe that the plane dropped below 5000ft to avoid radar. This keeps getting weirder and weirder...

LeRoux Strydom 03-17-2014 07:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cashflyer (Post 7965593)
Early on, I theorized that they went to Pakistan.
While a 777 could make it to Iran, they were destined for Beijing. Unless they had a reason to be carrying the extra fuel, they would not have enough to get to Iran (IMO).

If they were shadowing another plane closely enough to avoid making a separate radar return, that other planes TCAS would have been screaming the whole time. My bet is that they dropped below long range ATC radar coverage. However this does not account for why naval radar would not have picked them up. A 777 flying at 300ft over the ocean is not an everyday occurrence.

Does the other airplane's TCAS not rely on the radar transponder? MH370 had that turned off.

sc_rufctr 03-17-2014 07:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cashflyer (Post 7965562)
I don't know about all, but I know the one on my helicopter could.

And? You call in your flight plan (or file on DUATS) and indicate that you are a G-450, N450SW.
You've already reprogrammed your Mode S transponder with the hexadecimal code "AD364C"
You get into the air, your speed checks out, your code checks out, and as far as ATC is concerned, you are N450SW.
Unless somebody physically SEES this 777 in the air (you did repaint it, right?) then nobody is the wiser.

You're crossing the ADIZ on a valid flight plan. Your target is LA, which is also the required landing point for port of entry. So nobody realizes you are rogue until you ignore ATC vectors. You're already over downtown LA before intercepts out of Edwards can arrive. Even if you are intercepted, you now squawk 7500 or you give a 'mayday' for mechanical malfunctions. They have to get permission to shoot down. By then, you have nosed the 777 over into the heart of the city. Maybe with a nuke on board, maybe not.

:(

cashflyer 03-17-2014 07:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LeRoux Strydom (Post 7965600)
Does the other airplane's TCAS not rely on the radar transponder? MH370 had that turned off.

You're right. My mistake. I thought TCAS used an active radar return system.

berettafan 03-17-2014 07:43 AM

Meanwhile we can't keep a desperate laborer with $2 in his pocket from sneaking into the country.

cashflyer 03-17-2014 08:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by berettafan (Post 7965628)
Meanwhile we can't keep a desperate laborer with $2 in his pocket from sneaking into the country.

We can, but not in a way that people could easily stomach.

http://www.reseau-asie.com/images/ed...001_dmz_gm.jpg

berettafan 03-17-2014 08:17 AM

cash I had a second comment typed but deleted before clicking 'post'. In short it said we can have relative safety or we can have good feelings about how we treat the rest of the world, but not both.


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