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1967-73 resale value dropping? Your thoughts?
Considering that these early cars (911S not included) were asking and getting 100K plus and I am not talking about auction sites or the rare "one owner" vehicle last summer...Do you think the bubble has burst? and now these vehicles have been substantially lowered in price for sale-----interested to know your perspective
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This thread is a good example of market......
http://forums.pelicanparts.com/porsche-cars-sale/915988-1972-911-t-coupe-irish-green-tan.html Perspective needs to be placed on the overall market from 2008 until now. The market ran up strongly until last year when it began to slow. While it is deflating, I do not think it will return to the sub $20K market of 2008. I do think the day of $75,000 driver Ts are in the mirror at least until the euro runs up again. |
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The best of the best and rarest of the rare will hold value. The rest are sinking. Although prices will not return to previous levels, they are dropping and will continue to do so. |
As an owner of a nice 1973.5T, I am always watching the latest articles on the price range of these cars today. Excellence Magazine's latest Porsche evaluation publication showed a rise in the long hood series, with the "S" still way the hell out there and leading the way. According to Excellence, the range for the 1973T model for a good driver, matching numbers can go as high as 100K. By the way, their is a 1973.5T (Sepia Brown) advertised in the Cars For Sale here that's all "original" for 110K. Not bad...naw, these beauties will continue to hold.
Bobhttp://forums.pelicanparts.com/uploa...1473953026.jpg |
I don't see anything sinking. The dreamers and speculators are waking up, but the pricing on these cars is still solid and still many times more than they were 2-3 years ago.
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I think nice cars will always sell for good money. Maybe a average correction of 10%-15% max. |
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To me sinking means there's a hole in the side and it's gonna run aground. Markets and tides ebb and flow.
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maybe instead of a bubble it's a zit that just popped and all that rotten goo that caused it is clearing out?
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I think Matt is spot on, people have been a bit too greedy " He got 50k so I should get 55k for mine.." the next guy wants 60k etc.
Plus people are seeing crazy asking prices and pricing off of that. The market was strong but eventually there has to be a push back. Buy a rusted T for $35k makes no sense, it going to cost you 40k for light to restore it and when your done you still have a stock T worth $70k but it took you two years to get to that point. |
if the long hoods come down and the SC continues to rise, maybe I can swap mine out:p
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No amount of value change up or down will alter the love I have for my little rust bucket of restorative fun.
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For years, I watched the 356 market go thru this same process.....A ratchet effect.....3 steps forward, one step back. I'm still waiting for that day to return when I can get a nice 356 cab for $10K......
The '65-73.5" market will do the same.......If you want to be on the bus, don't wait too long to jump on. |
I went to the local Porsche dealer here in Atlanta, Ga this weekend to order a part and inquired about the value of my 1973.5T (Sepia). I was surprised that the second floor of the showroom was full of consignment cars, none of which were longhoods. Apparently, longhoods are in high demand according to the rep. and going for top dollar. "We know a whole bunch of folks who would want your car"! Commission was set at 10% for an under 100K sale. I plan on selling my car and would think that handing it over to a Porsche dealership to place in a showroom setting for a low commission might be the way to go!
If a Porsche dealership is advising that the longhoods are in demand and prices are strong, who's to argue? Bob 1973.5T |
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I do not know how much of an authority a local dealership is.... This month's Panorama had fifteen long hoods for sale of which five were Ss..... IMO, this is unprecedented in the last 8 years. |
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Their are two Porsche dealers in Atlanta, Hennessey being the newest and Ellis the one around the longest behind Brumos, which shut down back in the 90's. Hennessey has the second floor (after a building expension) that has the consignment cars. Many of the cars I understand end up in Europe so I will assume the sellers use a vast network to get the word out on inventory.
Yes, Atlanta (Georgia) is supposed to be the second largest Porsche market next to California. Driving is year round with perhaps a week or two worth of frozen precip and limited road salting. The PCA Peachstate Membership is large and events fill up quickly (DE, concours, socials, etc). Some of the best roads in the mountains are just an hour north of Atlanta. Overall, a great place to be a Porsche owner. Huge Boxster inventory here, with dozens always on the market. Bob |
Restoration quality and originality obviously makes a huge difference. As an example look at Hagerty's valuations. Seems like a lot of #3 driver quality Long hood restorations are asking #2 or even #1 concours prices. A # 1 car can cost more than the $75K number being thrown around to do a top notch restoration. It also costs about the same to restore a 69' T as it does a 73 S. Where I get hung up (and I'm shopping) is looking at a nice 73 1/2 T coupe driver without records, decent older wrong color paint, "no" rust, matching motor with no rebuild record, nom gearbox, correct interior. A car like that is a great driver but what's it worth? Asking price ranges are all over the place! Like the wild west for nice #3 drivers.
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As someone who just sold a longhood, I think the market has definitely peaked and has fallen somewhat. Real world numbers: I got $65K CAD for mine, which is just shy of $50k US. I think a year ago I could've gotten 60 US for it. Mine was a decent driver. Not without issues, but a couple grand and a paint job and it'd be really nice. FS ad is here: http://forums.pelicanparts.com/porsche-cars-sale/910643-fs-1972-911t.html
Considering I paid $11000 back in 2004 for it, I'm pretty happy. |
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I just sold a 72 T Targa for $17K. You might need to know more than make/model/year to infer anything from that... http://forums.pelicanparts.com/porsche-cars-sale/929177-1972-911t-targa-project.html |
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Bob, Hennessy Porsche Just became a Classic Dealer. The problem here is now Porsche is trying to get their dealers to jump in the Classic Market and they are uneducated. Just because they are a Porsche dealer they think they know all. Problem is not any of them know much about aircooled or even driven one. Much less set a value on one. |
I would agree with you on this one Picker. The sales staff is young, no one could name the color of my car (Sepia Brown) and probably do not know the differences between the 1973 and 1973.5T cars, let alone MFI from CIS. BUT, that' would not matter given that you pay for the convenience through a commission for showing the car in a dealer showroom, avoid scams, tire kickers, over seas shipping, etc, etc). I would not expect them to be an authority on older cars; however, Porsche management might encourage sales folks to catch up on knowledge of the older models. Their are potential buyers out there who want to buy a longhood and know what they want.................lets face it, Joe Doe who walks into a dealership to buy a 40+ year old car, know's what he looking for. Dealer? consignment shop? personal rep? does it matter? Its about the convenience for me. I am one of those lucky ones who paid under 10K for a restored longhood almost two decades ago. A 40K to 60K profit is not a bad thing. Heck, its like buying IBM back in the 60's.
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I don't know the first thing about long hoods, but thought they were selling for $150k, and driving the entire rest of the vintage 911 market with it. Can someone post a quick summary of the hierarchy? 911, 911T, 911E, 912, etc. Which ones were worth thee huge money?
This '68 912 just sold for $37k 1968 Porsche 912 Coupe | Bring a Trailer |
Pecking order, from top to bottom, according to the sales ads I see here:
1. Mine,MINE!MINE!!111!!1ALLMINE!MINE- $$WAYMORETHANYOURS!@ 2. Everything else. |
911S, 911E, 911T and 912....but you have to look at years they were produced, some model years are considered better than others, and then there are the Porsche Carrera that were introduced....I think overall the vintage market 66-73 was driving the market up with a few exceptions out there. There is alot of info that can be googled that can be very detailed and I am sure the other forum members can chime in....but the 912 is quickly gaining ground more now than ever before, it will never be like the 911 scene but they are respectable if not chopped and taken care of.
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911S, 911E, 911T and 912....but you have to look at years they were produced, some model years are considered better than others, and then there are the Porsche Carrera that were introduced....I think overall the vintage market 66-73 was driving the market up with a few exceptions out there. There is alot of info that can be googled that can be very detailed and I am sure the other forum members can chime in....but the 912 is quickly gaining ground more now than ever before, it will never be like the 911 scene but they are respectable if not chopped and taken care of.
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Rabbit.........their are several fine consignment shops around Atlanta; however, all do not just carry Porsche cars. So a prospective buyer walks into a showroom of consignment cars with his heart set on buying an older longhood but is presented with a lot of variety besides Porsche. Perhaps he decides to drive away with that restored Austin Healy 3000 he always considered? A small point, but at least showing it at a Porsche Dealership narrows the target audience and serious buyers. Commissions are almost the same for under 100K sales. Anyways, a PPI can be performed right at the dealer if need be. I am not defending the dealer here, but using the dealer does have its merits for a faster sale and targeted buyer. I have been to consignment shops and its like being a kid again in a toy store, especially if you grew up owning sports cars all your life! You might reconsider your choices then. Here is my ownership list: 1959 Bug Eyed Austin Healy Sprite, 1967 Triumph TR-4A IRS, 1972 Fiat 850, 1974 Fiat 124, !974 Porsche 911, 1976 Volkswagen Beetle, 1979 Porsche 911SC, Porsche 944, 1973.5T Porsche 911.
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Nick |
Prices haven't dropped well I guess they have but it's more to do with unrealistic asking prices. Things were growing quickly maybe too quickly and people got greedy with selling prices. I'm guilty of it, I'm sure most here are. It's the typical my cars better then yours so I should get an extra $5k. If we were to go back to 2014 prices cars would still be selling at a decent clip.
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