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-   -   Hurricane Dorian (http://forums.pelicanparts.com/off-topic-discussions/1038658-hurricane-dorian.html)

Cajundaddy 09-05-2019 07:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jims5543 (Post 10583053)
I am still coming to terms with that prediction. On Friday morning last week Inwas preparing to hit directly by a Cat 4 or 5 storm.

3 days later it completely missed me.

Lesson learned? You WANT to be listed as the point of landfall 4-5 days out, that guarantees it will miss you.

First it was hitting Cape Canaveral which was 100 miles north of me, then Vero Beach 30 miles North, the Jupiter 30 miles South. So frustrating.

Sent from my SM-G960U using Tapatalk

Hurricanes are weather systems and weather systems vary. A week out forecasters only have wild guesses where it is headed. Three days out the forecasters begin to have some precision. Eight hours out they have a much higher chance of predicting the path. Nature of the beast.

Racerbvd 09-05-2019 08:11 PM

http://forums.pelicanparts.com/uploa...1567743030.jpg

porsche tech 09-06-2019 02:52 AM

Hilton Head Island was spared. Back home yesterday after evacuation and just a debris clean up issue for us. It could have been so much worse! Prayers of thanksgiving are being made!

Jims5543 09-06-2019 03:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cajundaddy (Post 10583262)
Hurricanes are weather systems and weather systems vary. A week out forecasters only have wild guesses where it is headed. Three days out the forecasters begin to have some precision. Eight hours out they have a much higher chance of predicting the path. Nature of the beast.

So you agree with me they cannot predict these to save their lives. I want a job where I can always be wrong and still have a job.

This weather hobbyist "Drunk donkey" predicts them better than any news agency.

https://spaghettimodels.com/

Joe Bob 09-06-2019 03:55 AM

Back in Ash. No damage but no power. Chowing down at Waffle House.

rfuerst911sc 09-06-2019 04:17 AM

I am watching CNN coverage of Abaco it is amazing anyone lived ! Just total devastation . It will take a long time to recover and rebuild . For those that rebuild good luck .

Seahawk 09-06-2019 05:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Joe Bob (Post 10583451)
Back in Ash. No damage but no power. Chowing down at Waffle House.

Great news - should be TS here today, which is a no brainer.

KFC911 09-06-2019 05:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Joe Bob (Post 10583451)
Back in Ash. No damage but no power. Chowing down at Waffle House.

I was hoping you weren't stooooopid JB....

The islands took one for all of US...tragic.

Baz 09-06-2019 08:32 AM

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astrochex 09-06-2019 09:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Seahawk (Post 10583508)
Great news - should be TS here today, which is a no brainer.

Glad she is finally losing her teeth.

Racerbvd 09-06-2019 09:42 AM

https://www.wokv.com/news/local/jacksonville-man-viral-photo-buying-generators-for-bahamas-says-ravaged-islands-need-help/MoIczPpEoNqJuP5yD2z5LJ/
JACKSONVILLE MAN IN VIRAL PHOTO BUYING GENERATORS FOR BAHAMAS SAYS RAVAGED ISLANDS NEED HELP*

By:*Joe Daraskevich

Published:*September 5, 2019 10:00 PM

Photo Credit: Joe Daraskevich

By now you’ve probably seen the viral picture of the Florida man buying 100 generators and other supplies for people in the Bahamas.

The picture was taken from behind, but he looked familiar to me.

I took a chance and reached out, and it turns out the Florida man is, more specifically, a Jacksonville man.

He asked if I would keep his identity a secret because he doesn’t want people to think he spent roughly $50,000 for notoriety. That request is being honored, but the story needed to be told.

“I’m just a farmer from Jacksonville,” he says.

The farmer tells me the section of the Abaco Islands that was hit the hardest*“was the most beautiful place in the world to party, snorkel and fish.”

He says his family has been going down there for years creating new memories with each trip. For the last 13 years he’s kept going back to fish with a boat captain named Errol Thurston, and Thurston is one of the biggest reasons he’s been pouring so much money into the relief efforts.

“They found Errol’s aunt today, she had drowned. His uncle is missing,” the farmer tells me.*“The death toll is going to really start ramping up.”

But he says we may never know how many people were killed by Dorian in the Bahamas because so many of the bodies have most likely been washed into the ocean.

Luckily, Thurston had taken a boat to Stuart, Florida to ride out the storm, and the Jacksonville farmer says he’s been in touch with him ever since Dorian started to hit the Bahamas.

He says they began making a list of supplies that would be needed right away. The sooner they could get them the better.

The farmer tells me he was gathering all the supplies at Costco this week when someone came up and asked why he was buying so many generators and other supplies. He told the man it was all for people in the Bahamas, and the man got choked up when he found out the goods were being donated.

The man snapped a photo, and the photo went viral.

The farmer loaded up six tons of food, 100 generators, parts, oil, bars, chains, electric cords to get power from the generators and*“enough chainsaws to start a tree service company” into trucks and drove them down to Stuart, Florida today.

They unloaded the two box trucks and the farmer’s pickup truck full of goods, and he says he thinks most of it will be going over on a flotilla of* small boats this weekend.

He says he’s worked with the United Way for years, and the organization was tremendously helpful with this endeavor. But he says this isn’t a solution by any means, and hopefully a lot more money and assistance will be coming from the government before too long.

He says it’s hard to even think about how much Dorian changed the landscape in his favorite corner of the Bahamas.

“I’ve got a picture of an area where there used to be 30 or 40 houses where we used to rent one. I think one house is left that I can see in the picture,” the farmer says.

He says he hopes people will be inspired by what he’s done so far and will pitch in themselves to help the people in the Bahamas get back on their feet again.*

The farmer says he’s like anyone else from Jacksonville who loves to fish, loves to travel and loves the Jaguars (he predicts a 10-6 record this season for his favorite NFL team).

But it pains him to see people in the Bahamas dealing with such a tragedy.*

He says it could have been Jacksonville that was hit so hard, and everyone needs to realize we could have been the ones looking for help and trying to find loved ones swept into the ocean by massive waves.

So that’s what he was doing when someone snapped a picture and put it on the internet.*

He says he’s just a farmer from Jacksonville who’s spent some of the best times of his life*partying, snorkeling and fishing in a paradise that is no longer there.*

Jims5543 09-06-2019 09:48 AM

For the Florida is flat folks.

I took these pictures at about 60 feet above sea level this ridge goes much higher up. I think the highest point is 90 - 100 feet above sea level. There is a county BM at 90' above seal level in a Cemetery near the highest point.



https://photos.smugmug.com/photos/i-...-mvMpwcG-L.jpg


https://photos.smugmug.com/photos/i-...-dcVVQtT-L.jpg


This is a customers house, it is a remodeled early 1900's home, I had to do elevations on it for him for the county, he is about 40' above seal level right on the river.

https://photos.smugmug.com/photos/i-...-2v3mDQk-L.jpg

View from his front yard. I have to send him an email now I noted he had a camera on the front if his house he is probably wonder WTF I was doing.

https://photos.smugmug.com/photos/i-...ktDg7HD-X3.jpg

This is a road that runs along the river (lagoon actually) it is about 30' above sea level.

https://photos.smugmug.com/photos/i-...-PXpZLwG-L.jpg



I have a buddy in OBS all the way up by Kitty Hawk, he lost power at 11am and said its not to bad there.

KFC911 09-06-2019 10:06 AM

Tornados hit NC isles...hopefully all are fine. I know one who needs to report in...probably checking on "stuff"...

porsche tech 09-06-2019 11:01 AM

The Jacsonville farmer with the generators is cool! Knows how to make the rubber meet the road.

Jims5543 09-06-2019 12:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Racerbvd (Post 10583821)
https://www.wokv.com/news/local/jacksonville-man-viral-photo-buying-generators-for-bahamas-says-ravaged-islands-need-help/MoIczPpEoNqJuP5yD2z5LJ/
JACKSONVILLE MAN IN VIRAL PHOTO BUYING GENERATORS FOR BAHAMAS SAYS RAVAGED ISLANDS NEED HELP*

That is an amazing story, everywhere around here is doing some sort of collection to send over smaller larger everything the help is going to come pouring in over the next few days. That is for sure.

A good friend of mine used to own a house on Scotland Cay, he sold it about 7 years ago, I spent a week there back in the early 2000's and it was indeed the closest you could get to paradise. We could walk out the back door of the house onto the beach and go snorkeling on some amazing reefs. Really sad to see this place tore to pieces.


https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EDzDc9zWsAI8B_m.jpg

GH85Carrera 09-06-2019 01:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jims5543 (Post 10583832)
For the Florida is flat folks.

I took these pictures at about 60 feet above sea level this ridge goes much higher up. I think the highest point is 90 - 100 feet above sea level. There is a county BM at 90' above seal level in a Cemetery near the highest point.


This is a customers house, it is a remodeled early 1900's home, I had to do elevations on it for him for the county, he is about 40' above seal level right on the river.


View from his front yard. I have to send him an email now I noted he had a camera on the front if his house he is probably wonder WTF I was doing.


This is a road that runs along the river (lagoon actually) it is about 30' above sea level.


I have a buddy in OBS all the way up by Kitty Hawk, he lost power at 11am and said its not to bad there.

Jim, 100 feet of elevation is still pretty much flat.

We do aerial photography for anyone with money. We were working on a project in Florida for a client based in Denver. We were just the flying service, and they were dealing with a surveyor to put down aerial targets for us. We had a conference call and the surveyor mentioned the highest elevation on the survey area was 12 feet. The Denver folks are used to working in elevations in thousands of feet. The Denver group all chuckled at a high elevation of 12 feet.

So yea, Florida has some hills and a high elevation 345 feet. Pretty dang flat.

Oklahoma has the world's tallest hill, Cavanal Mountain 1,999 feet. We have some actual mountains as well. No ocean views however.

Jims5543 09-06-2019 01:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GH85Carrera (Post 10584086)
Jim, 100 feet of elevation is still pretty much flat.

We do aerial photography for anyone with money. We were working on a project in Florida for a client based in Denver. We were just the flying service, and they were dealing with a surveyor to put down aerial targets for us. We had a conference call and the surveyor mentioned the highest elevation on the survey area was 12 feet. The Denver folks are used to working in elevations in thousands of feet. The Denver group all chuckled at a high elevation of 12 feet.

So yea, Florida has some hills and a high elevation 345 feet. Pretty dang flat.

Oklahoma has the world's tallest hill, Cavanal Mountain 1,999 feet. We have some actual mountains as well. No ocean views however.


Oh, I know, there is a lot of low lying areas. I am just pointing out that there are also a lot of areas much higher than that. My house sits over 30 feet above sea level and I am about 3/4 mile from the inter coastal (River / Lagoon) if I heard 20' surge:

A. I would already be gone since that comes with a Cat 4 or 5 storm

B. I would not have to worry about rising water storm surge where my house is.

That was my only point, not everywhere in Florida is 6-12 feet over sea level. I am in a unique area where there is some elevation, yeah not a mile up but 100 feet is decent for a coastal community.

I think the north shore of Long Island, where I grew up, is the same way the south shore is close to sea level.

Seahawk 09-07-2019 04:35 AM

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Jims5543 09-08-2019 08:29 AM

Some pics from my fiend Will who lives up by Kill Devil Hills. Love the name on the work truck.

BTW - The locals cleared that tree off the road themselves, when DOT arrived to clear it they thanked them for making their job easier.

https://photos.smugmug.com/photos/i-...p9StzMX-X2.jpg

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Neilk 09-09-2019 08:31 AM

Our family has been going to Treasure Cay for the past 40+ years.

Here's what remains. Our condo was one of the units 1:30 into the video. It has been especially painful for my parents, especially for my stepfather who will be 85. He doesn't think we will ever be able to go back since reconstruction will take years and years. Our loss is nothing compared to what the locals lost. Devastating.

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