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-   -   Hurricane Dorian (http://forums.pelicanparts.com/off-topic-discussions/1038658-hurricane-dorian.html)

astrochex 09-01-2019 05:05 AM

Argh, this is turning my stomach into knots.

Jim, I do find it interesting that Melbourne was one of your destinations. I am praying this sucker somehow stays east more than predictions.

CurtEgerer 09-01-2019 05:43 AM

Now it looks like this thing is going to park off shore and churn until Tues before turning north. I guess that's good. Unless you're on the Bahamas or surrounding islands.

http://forums.pelicanparts.com/uploa...1567345397.png

nota 09-01-2019 06:02 AM

175 mph at 9:30 am est cat 5 ++

Jims5543 09-01-2019 06:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by nota (Post 10578043)
175 mph at 9:30 am est cat 5 ++

Pressure is almost identical to Andrew except this one is much bigger.

Really hoping to see that turn.

My wife is a bad influence. She came out this morning and asked if I wanted to ride our bikes downtown for breakfast. So we did.

We hit up Publix for some last minute groceries, like creamer :D I checked out the store, plenty of milk, water and bread.

Gas stations are all open and have gas.

A couple hours behind schedule, time to go tidy up the backyard and pool deck.

Then we wait.. .

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Tobra 09-01-2019 06:33 AM

If'n it sits off the coast like that, Florida and Georgia are likely to get a couple feet of rain

p911dad 09-01-2019 06:40 AM

I have been watching this for quite a while now. Question - why is the storm now forecast to make a sharp turn north as it passes Grand Bahama? Is there some greater weather system taking over the track. Good luck to all of you in the storm's path!

Baz 09-01-2019 06:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by p911dad (Post 10578066)
I have been watching this for quite a while now. Question - why is the storm now forecast to make a sharp turn north as it passes Grand Bahama? Is there some greater weather system taking over the track. Good luck to all of you in the storm's path!

This video does a pretty good job of explaining what is happening:

<iframe width="1237" height="696" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/IhOmkDxmcOY" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen></iframe>

Baz 09-01-2019 06:49 AM

https://scontent.ftpa1-1.fna.fbcdn.n...fc&oe=5E0BF0FB

carreradpt 09-01-2019 09:40 AM

This thing is a giant. Have just a few things to do that are easy peasy. Start draining the pool down a foot plus. Emergency exit door panels are the last thing to go on the house. And the waiting game is on for us mid coastal Florida folks. The worst part when you just have time to think about all the things the reporters are warning us about.

We took a walk around the hood this morning and were very surprised that there were so many homes w/o shutters. But was happy to report that the dumbasses that put piles of yard waste out on the street during the last cane did not repeat, at least so far.

The Sandhills have been out and about and stopped in to say good luck or were maybe asking us for a safe haven, not sure.http://forums.pelicanparts.com/uploa...1567359519.jpg

nota 09-01-2019 11:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by p911dad (Post 10578066)
I have been watching this for quite a while now. Question - why is the storm now forecast to make a sharp turn north as it passes Grand Bahama? Is there some greater weather system taking over the track. Good luck to all of you in the storm's path!

high pressure ridge to the north that was blocking it is getting weaker
and opening a path north as the push west weakens

it maybe turning NOW
or it maybe a wobble
but eventually it will turn Q is when

carreradpt 09-01-2019 11:11 AM

PLEASE, PLEASE be soon. The Bahamas are just taking a beating. Just awful to think how they are faring.

RWebb 09-01-2019 11:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jyl (Post 10577796)
So current forecast is that Dorian most likely curves up along the coast and never makes landfall? That's good, right?

not good, but not as bad as it could be...

p911dad 09-01-2019 12:01 PM

Thanks Baz, good stuff. I were a betting man, I don't know where I would put my money. Hope it goes sharp NE out to sea.

javadog 09-01-2019 12:05 PM

Strongest storm in 80 years...

astrochex 09-01-2019 12:22 PM

The winds they showed from the Euro model for brevard county were not as bad as i feared, roughly 50 mph max. Had Santa Anas in SoCal stronger than that.

Baz 09-01-2019 12:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by astrochex (Post 10578386)
The winds they showed from the Euro model for brevard county were not as bad as i feared, roughly 50 mph max. Had Santa Anas in SoCal stronger than that.

Don't forget when the location for Cape Canaveral was selected, one of the considerations was the tendency of the Gulf Stream to steer storms outward (eastward) and away from land.

Should provide some comfort for those in Brevard County.

KFC911 09-01-2019 01:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by astrochex (Post 10578386)
The winds they showed from the Euro model for brevard county were not as bad as i feared, roughly 50 mph max. Had Santa Anas in SoCal stronger than that.

This storm will likely dump a bunh of H2O on the left side of the eye....it ain't over by a long shot. Eastern NC became a lake during Mathew recently and last year's flooded my property pretty good last year :(.

Stay safe and don't let down your guard...

Computer modeling is just that ;)....

astrochex 09-01-2019 01:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KC911 (Post 10578431)
This storm will likely dump a bunh of H2O on the left side of the eye....it ain't over by a long shot. Eastern NC became a lake during Mathew recently and last year's flooded my property pretty good last year :(.

Stay safe and don't let down your guard...

Computer modeling is just that ;)....

Oh I’m reminded every five minutes a Cat 5 storm is headed my way. Water is my main concern.

Baz, I did not know that about Cape Canaveral. Great info http://forums.pelicanparts.com/suppo...s/beerchug.gif

Jims5543 09-01-2019 03:06 PM

Stress level? 15 on a scale of 1-10.

If it does not turn tomorrow? 20 on a scale of 1-10.https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/201...67c865a3e2.jpg

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Captain Ahab Jr 09-01-2019 03:22 PM

I grew up just south of the eye is now, not a nice feeling being boarded up in a house waiting for it to pass

Sounds like the Abaco got hit hard :(

Good luck, stay safe and hope it turns away


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