AAPL: How high will it go?

[McLovin]

Indefinite. I could hold it forever if I had to/wanted to.

[McLovin]

I'm kicking myself for not buying Facebook when it was at 19 a few weeks ago. I had seen Trump on TV and he was talking about how he had just bought at $19.

I think ultimately Facebook will not make it, but I think it will be around for quite a while, and the stock will go up.

I was close to buying $20K at $19 . . . but I chickened out doubly by (1) only doing half that amount (2) of AAPL instead.

[motion]

Yeah, I think FB will go the way of Myspace, eventually. There will always be something new in this category, and people have a lot to hate about FB. I missed the 19 a share price while transferring $$$ into my trading account, but still got in at 23. If it gets any higher, I'm going to take my earnings out.

I think my average AAPL share price is something like $675

[McLovin]

I would have loved to put in $20K at 19, and taken out $30K today.

I'd be at the dealer buying my Triumph Thruxton if I had done that!

[motion]

Don't forget to factor in short term gains to the IRS!

[McLovin]

I'd have to sell the two fiddy to pay them.

[Reg]

RIMM is continuing to rise from the ashes!

[KFC911]

Originally Posted by KC911

Oh, I don't disagree with either of ya...RIMM has been "beaten down" like ...

I still like the odds of RIMM hitting 14 before AAPL reaches 1350....but I'm not holding either. I hope everyone on this thread makes a bundle on both.

Originally Posted by Reg

RIMM is continuing to rise from the ashes!

I saw RIMM go above $14 this morning, and remembered this thread . Didn't think it would happen so fast though...good for you Reg!!!

[McLovin]

Wow on RIMM. Stock has doubled in the last few months.

You can thank me for that (it's because I didn't buy it).

AAPL now down to $513 today.

Seriously, let's flip the title of this thread. How low will it go?!? $490? $450? $400?

[McLovin]

Hearing no objections, I just bought another 10 shares at $510.

[KFC911]

McLovin, you're a sharp guy, just curious as to what your exit strategy is if you don't mind me asking? Full disclosure...I began to slowly exit my APPL position around this point some time back (on the way up). I would have kept a small chunk indefinitely (all house money), but an unexpected land purchase triggered my last sell off a few months back. I hope I'm wrong (for everyone else's sake), but imo, the "ride" is over and APPL will fluctuate around these levels for a while. This market cap just seems more reasonable to me and even though Apple is a great company, it's just to "pricey" for me and my strategy.

[McLovin]

Thanks for the compliment, I do think that I'm pretty good at a lot of things.

But I suck at the stock market.

I got out of the stock market completely a few years ago, other than some MLPs which I continue to hold (Kinder Morgan, Enterprise Energy Partners, and a couple of others). Those MLPs, by the way, have been great. I've held them since around 2006, and get double digit dividends every single year, and the "stock" price has basically doubled, too.

Anyways, as to why I bought, I've always been tempted by AAPL, including when it was being discussed here when it was at $90! I thought at the time it might go to $60, so I held off. Of course, then it took off. (Did I mention I suck at the stock market?).

So, my only strategy here is that AAPL is way off its peak, and maybe it'll get back towards that peak. Also, it feels pretty safe at around $500-$550. Even if it goes down to $450, that's not a huge loss.

Also, long term, it does seem like Apple is here to stay, so the downside feels relatively limited.

Also, the amts I bought are not relatively much to me. So some is for fun, although losing money isn't much fun!

And, motion bought at $675, so how wrong can I go at $510-$550??? Even if the stock goes to $400, I'm still doing better than motion, and not many people can say that, so that's worth something.

That's pretty much the extent of my thinking!

[KFC911]

Originally Posted by McLovin

...I got out of the stock market completely a few years ago, other than some MLPs which I continue to hold (Kinder Morgan, Enterprise Energy Partners, and a couple of others). Those MLPs, by the way, have been great. I've held them since around 2006, and get double digit dividends every single year, and the "stock" price has basically doubled, too....

so how wrong can I go at $510-$550??? Even if the stock goes to $400, I'm still doing better than motion, and not many people can say that, so that's worth something.

That's pretty much the extent of my thinking!

Thanks for sharing! You won't go wrong owning solid companies imo...I too have had MLPs in my mix for years (pared down to only KMP now) and those along with a couple of REITs and other solid dividend payers are primarily my strategy now. While it's nice to "gloat" about the homeruns (what strikeouts??? ), I just want a solid income stream at this point (slightly above 5%), and the stock price increases are a bonus at this point for me. Good luck all!

[McLovin]

I think Buckeye ( Welcome to Buckeye Partners, L.P. ) is a good MLP buy right now. It's in the low 40s or so. It's been as high as 71. If I were looking to invest cash not held in a retirement account, I'd buy that right now (AAPL is being bought in a SEP IRA).

The current dividend at the current price is right under 9%.

The one (and only) think that concerns me about MLPs is - our own government. In its never ending quest to raise taxes, the current tax treatment of MLPs and how they pay dividends, etc. seems to me to be a possible target.

If the tax treatment of MLPs is changed, or that thought is even floated, the share price will take a hit.

I wasn't so worried about it in 2006, but (1) at that time MLPs were more "under the radar" and (2) it seems our political and economic philosophy has, umm "shifted" somewhat since then.

[techweenie]

Well Donald Trump came out today with this Tweet: "This is a buyers’ market. Buy now. You will thank me in 3 years."

And to think, only 6 weeks ago, it was 'a looming disaster.'

I remain bullish on AAPL for a solid gain over the next 12 months. Short term, I think the 4th (calendar) quarter results will be underwhelming. In the medium term, they'll be 'saved by their ecosystem.' In the long term, they'll continue to grow their share of the laptop market, especially. And the iPad will continue to dominate. Rumors of Apple TVs in testing are nice, but don't expect product for 5-6 months...

[McLovin]

I think Trump is right. I'm not worried about my AAPL bought at $550 and $510.

It's at $530 right now, if it goes down to $500 or less, I'll probably buy a little more.

I'm only holding 30 shares, so it's not that big of a deal on the upside or downside.

I do think AAPL has some big issues moving forward. The biggest problem I see is the need to continually innovate. That is difficult, and may or may not happen. They introduce something like the iPhone or iPad, but then others basically come out with the same thing, at a much less cost.

I think someone wrote about that, the "good enough" theory. Which to me has a lot of validity. For example, I bought my wife a Google Nexus 7 for Christmas, instead of an iPad mini.

Why? Because it's $199, and it's "good enough." It has a screen and resolution that is as good or better than iPad, and all she'll ever use it for is as a reader, checking email, and occasionally surfing the web.

For her use, it functions exactly the same as an iPad, for roughly half the cost.

I think that's a problem for Apple.

The only way to get around it is to come out with the "next great thing," but that's not easy to do year after year. As an example of that, just look at the iPhone 5.

[red-beard]

"Good Enough" ? The Nexus 7 is a very nice tablet!

[CROWSC]

In my opinion, it is all about the Logo. Apple's logo is a status symbol and Americans love their status symbols, such as Mercedes, Porsche, BMW, Harley Davidson etc.. Apple is right up there with the big dogs. You don't see people driving around with Dell stickers in the windows of their cars. Apple did the right thing years and years ago, when they donated computers to the schools and the kids got hands on experience on how to use them Now those kids have grown up and guess what they are hooked on Apple products. What a bunch of marketing genius's. They are far from being done. Keep your eyes open for 3D television without glasses that really works, without hurting your eyes, or giving you a headache.

[McLovin]

Originally Posted by red-beard

"Good Enough" ? The Nexus 7 is a very nice tablet!

I agree! I've been working with it, setting it up, etc. so when she pulls it out of the box on Xmas it's ready to go. I like it a lot, and for $199 I like it even more.

[biosurfer1]

Another big day for RIMM, but it will be ugly tomorrow