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-   -   The "Second Wave" (http://forums.pelicanparts.com/off-topic-discussions/1058784-second-wave.html)

legion 04-23-2020 11:26 AM

Exactly. We were given one excuse for infringing on our rights, and now we are being given a different one with each extension of these illegal acts.

legion 04-23-2020 11:28 AM

People are dying over this bull****. They aren't doing cancer surgeries. Those are considered "unnecessary" in Illinois. But as long as no one dies of COVID-19.

Porsche-O-Phile 04-23-2020 11:37 AM

Well they can’t blame cancer on Trump...

(They CAN of course but even TDS-afflicted stooges have to realize that one’s a hard sell... COVID is so much easier to blame on him).

This is all about election year spin and blame-gaming at this point. I seriously doubt any of the politicians making these decisions gives a fart in the wind about any of us (not that they ever did or I ever expected they would but...)

RWebb 04-23-2020 11:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by legion (Post 10835507)
The government has no legitimate authority to lock healthy people in their homes. .

don't be ridiculous

RWebb 04-23-2020 11:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by legion (Post 10835540)
This virus isn't going away. The lockdown is security theater. If anyone thinks they can control this thing, they are being arrogant.


If anyone thinks they can control this thing, they are an epidemiologist.



Also:
Who says that "there is a second phase when they are carrying the virus but their immune response has stopped the shedding of the live virus."

RWebb 04-23-2020 11:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KC911 (Post 10835828)
Just a guess....major international airports, then everyone is crammed on subways & trains, high density burroughs, and high rise apts. etc.

Utopia for the virus....

Highly likely.

We should rethink some of our "city planning" ideas about how wonderful density is.

RWebb 04-23-2020 11:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by legion (Post 10836156)
Now it is coming out that my governor is going to extend the stay at home order for another month. :mad::mad::mad:

****ing tyrant!

Have you considered a telemedicine session with a psychiatrist?

legion 04-23-2020 11:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RWebb (Post 10836236)
don't be ridiculous

Find me a state constitution that allows it.

RWebb 04-23-2020 11:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by legion (Post 10836175)
I don't give a ****. That's irrelevant. There is no legal basis to confine healthy people to their homes indefinitely.

No. Completely wrong. you seem to be in some sort of disinformation spreading contest with Island.

Take a chill pill and read this:

https://www.ncsl.org/research/health/state-quarantine-and-isolation-statutes.aspx

GH85Carrera 04-23-2020 12:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RWebb (Post 10836252)
Highly likely.

We should rethink some of our "city planning" ideas about how wonderful density is.

Yea, NYC is 302 square miles with 18 million people. People packed in high rise building jammed in together. They have 1/4 of all the deaths from the China flu in the US. One city 1/4 of all the US deaths is not a place I want to be.

legion 04-23-2020 12:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RWebb (Post 10836270)
No. Completely wrong. you seem to be in some sort of disinformation spreading contest with Island.

Take a chill pill and read this:

https://www.ncsl.org/research/health/state-quarantine-and-isolation-statutes.aspx

Quarantines are orders for specific sick people to remain in their homes for a set period of time. They are not general orders for the whole populace to remain in their homes indefinitely.

McLovin 04-23-2020 12:10 PM

Clearly, these orders involve the restriction of numerous constitutional rights.

As such they would be subject to strict scrutiny.

If these orders were suddenly imposed during, say, a regular flu season, they surely would be found unconstitutional.

As of today, in most states, given the circumstances and what is known, in many instances it’s debatable.

As time passes the analysis changes, depending on what happens with the virus, New information from around the world, etc.

legion 04-23-2020 12:11 PM

Just because this is a different virus doesn't make it any less illegal.

Porsche-O-Phile 04-23-2020 12:22 PM

Just because something is in a statute or a guideline cooked up by some cubicle-rat bureaucrat does NOT mean it passes constitutional muster. These “stay at home” policies are flatly unconstitutional as orders. They are perfectly acceptable as GUIDELINES. The moment government tries to enforce them through force or penalty they become a gross overreach.

Historically the SCOTUS has only allowed for very narrow and specifically targeted temporary suspensions of constitutional rights (aside from those taken by due process say, for conviction of a crime). These are NOT targeted, NOT specific and left open-ended.

Government has completely overstepped its bounds here and it’s good to see some acknowledgment of that and demands for accountability / changes.

Government should be EDUCATING the populace about why VOLUNTARY cooperation with social distancing measures is smart and appropriate, not demanding it with threats of fines and arrest (and quite plainly weaponizing it to use as a political tool).

This is EXACTLY the kind of overreach and establishment of corrosive precedents the Founding Fathers tried to protect us against - exactly.

RWebb 04-23-2020 12:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by legion (Post 10836281)
Quarantines are orders for specific sick people to remain in their homes for a set period of time. They are not general orders for the whole populace to remain in their homes indefinitely.

No.

You have to read the link I posted. Read.

you might also want to look into the power of a state - they are not limited sovereigns like the US.

I get that you don't like it. I'd tell you to go live in another country but don't know of any w/o the power to quarantine for public health.

You may need to buy your own island.

McLovin 04-23-2020 12:26 PM

Some of what’s being done as of today is probably unconstitutional.
For example, at this time in many areas of the country, orders that outlaw 10 people walking to a neighbor’s house to get together for a religious observance probably wouldn’t pass constitutional muster.

RWebb 04-23-2020 12:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by McLovin (Post 10836299)
Clearly, these orders involve the restriction of numerous constitutional rights.

As such they would be subject to strict scrutiny.

If these orders were suddenly imposed during, say, a regular flu season, they surely would be found unconstitutional.

As of today, in most states, given the circumstances and what is known, in many instances it’s debatable.

As time passes the analysis changes, depending on what happens with the virus, New information from around the world, etc.

also wrong

strict scrutiny is a specific term of art - it relates to racial discrimination

reasonable will be the phrase here - and I'm sure there will be some cases brought eventully - maybe legion can bring one

McLovin 04-23-2020 12:30 PM

Cases won’t be brought because hopefully the most restrictive orders are going to be reasonably temporary.

RWebb 04-23-2020 12:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by McLovin (Post 10836331)
Some of what’s being done as of today is probably unconstitutional.
For example, at this time in many areas of the country, orders that outlaw 10 people walking to a neighbor’s house to get together for a religious observance probably wouldn’t pass constitutional muster.

I bet it would pass.

I forget the name of the case but I call it the chicken chopping case....

Members of Santa Ria (a combo of voodoo and christianity) perform sacrifices of chickens as a religious observance. They did this in members homes, and the neighbors - after viewing the blood and chicken parts, and the sounds of murdered chickens... complained.

This was - of course - in Florida (maybe miami). They got banned in residential areas so sued in federal court.

The Court ruled that they could indeed be banned based on practices (not beliefs) in areas zoned for residential use, and could go kill chickens in areas zoned for meat packing plants.

pmax 04-23-2020 01:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sooner or later (Post 10835796)
We know there are a lot of unknown cases. The current "trials" are all over the map and are using unapproved tests with unknown accuracy.

Stanford said 50-85
USC says 28-55
Chelsea says 15
Swedish trial said 999 before it got pulled for inaccuracy.

Above 20% in NYC.

0.6% mortality with the crowded inner cities bearing the brunt.

Quote:

more than 21 percent of roughly 1,300 new york city residents tested as part of a state study had antibodies linked to covid-19, governor andrew cuomo revealed thursday during a press conference.

According to the preliminary results of the survey, 21.2 percent of those tested in nyc had antibodies, compared with 16.7 percent on long island, and 11.7 percent in westchester and rockland counties. In the rest of the state, just 3.6 percent of those tested had been infected and recovered from the disease.

Statewide, nearly 14 percent in the sample of 3,000 people tested positive for the antibodies.

Extrapolating these infection rates to the broader population, that would mean that more than 2.6 million people in the state and more than 1.7 million people in new york city have already been infected with coronavirus.

“This basically quantifies what we’ve been seeing anecdotally and what we have known but it puts numbers to it,” Cuomo said.

He also argued that it could support different policies in different parts of the state.

https://gothamist.com/news/new-york-antibody-test-results-coronavirus
Makes sense.

Sooner or later 04-23-2020 01:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pmax (Post 10836450)
Above 20% in NYC.

0.6% mortality with the crowded inner cities bearing the brunt.



Makes sense.

About 11 or 12 per known case.

So, we have 4 antibody trials to date. (That I know of)

Two on the east coast in high case areas
Chelsea with 15 to 1
NY with 11 or 12 to 1

Two from the west coast in lower infection rate areas..
Standord with 50-85 to 1
USC with 28-55

island911 04-23-2020 02:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jyl (Post 10836161)
You’ve looked at your state’s curve? I don’t see any/much flattening.

So you are saying that past 6 weeks of shut-down didn't do what it was supposed to do.

...and so the only conclusion is that they need more.

rrriiiight....

wdfifteen 04-23-2020 03:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NY65912 (Post 10835963)
There is a distinct difference between going to the store with protection on and having or going to gatherings. The mayor is talking about social gatherings and events where people are in close proximity. I went to the doctor yesterday. I wore a mask and gloves, took an Uber and felt totally fine with it. There are still people out and about here doing their business. I think there may be some level of "freedom paranoia" developing.

It’s pretty obvious there is a lot oof “freedom paranoia” going on. I live in Ohio, where we have fairly strict social distancing rules. We aren’t supposed to leave our property except for necessities. Once a week I hit the rounds of the grocery, lumber company, farm store, and pharmacy. All those stores are open and I’m not violating any rules. Where is anyone not allowed out to tend to necessities?

jyl 04-23-2020 03:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by island911 (Post 10836550)
So you are saying that past 6 weeks of shut-down didn't do what it was supposed to do.

...and so the only conclusion is that they need more.

rrriiiight....

We’ve flattened our curve pretty effectively in OR. Not sure what is going on in IL or the other states with still-steep curves. I’d hope the state govt is figuring it out. c

Shaun @ Tru6 04-23-2020 03:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by wdfifteen (Post 10836667)
It’s pretty obvious there is a lot oof “freedom paranoia” going on.

I'm curious why it's only the fringe alt right that has been afflicted with this disease. Who gave it to them? Who is organizing them? How far will their puppet masters go? That's what I want to know.

KFC911 04-23-2020 03:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shaun @ Tru6 (Post 10836682)
I'm curious why it's only the fringe alt right that has been afflicted with this disease. Who gave it to them? Who is organizing them? How far will their puppet masters go? That's what I want to know.

The Tea party was cancelled... couldn't have eleven idjuts in the same room any longer ;)

pmax 04-23-2020 03:48 PM

1 in 5 means everyone unless they have been hiding in the basement for the past few months has been in contact with an infected.

wdfifteen 04-23-2020 03:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shaun @ Tru6 (Post 10836682)
I'm curious why it's only the fringe alt right that has been afflicted with this disease. Who gave it to them? Who is organizing them? How far will their puppet masters go? That's what I want to know.

I think it’s a bunch of people generally pissed off that life isn’t what they imagine it used to be and a bunch of politicians willing to exploit them.

KFC911 04-23-2020 03:59 PM

LOL....the Obama reign of terror :D?

legion 04-23-2020 04:30 PM

https://www.foxnews.com/media/napolitano-unconstitutional-stay-at-home-orders

Quote:

Fox News senior judicial analyst Andrew Napolitano said on Tuesday that stay-at-home orders from governors across the U.S. are unconstitutional because creating laws is a power delegated solely to legislatures

“The government has to recognize that the rights that are in the Constitution still exist in bad times as well as in good and it has to treat people equally,” Napolitano told “Fox & Friends.”

“If you can get in a line of cars to buy a cheeseburger at McDonald's, you can get in a line of cars to express your opinion about the government."

dafischer 04-23-2020 05:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shaun @ Tru6 (Post 10836682)
I'm curious why it's only the fringe alt right that has been afflicted with this disease. Who gave it to them? Who is organizing them? How far will their puppet masters go? That's what I want to know.

Take it to PARF, shaun.

450knotOffice 04-23-2020 07:07 PM

I'm honestly surprised that some feel that only the fringe alt right are concerned about this lockdown. What kind of bubble do people like RWebb, Shaun, etc. live in?

speeder 04-23-2020 07:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 450knotOffice (Post 10837000)
I'm honestly surprised that some feel that only the fringe alt right are concerned about this lockdown. What kind of bubble do people like RWebb, Shaun, etc. live in?

I'm going to agree w you here, lots of people are upset about the stay-at-home orders but it's really not a lock-down. I can jump in my car/motorcycle/bicycle anytime I want here in LA and roam the city. There is just not as many places to go w all of the businesses shut down.

The fringe alt-right is being fed a particular narrative w plenty of dis- and misinformation wrt Marshall Law, conspiracy theories, etc. The disinformation campaign is working really well w some even spreading BS here.

McLovin 04-23-2020 07:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by speeder (Post 10837008)
I'm going to agree w you here, lots of people are upset about the stay-at-home orders but it's really not a lock-down. I can jump in my car/motorcycle/bicycle anytime I want here in LA and roam the city.

Yes, you can do that, just like a person under house arrest can chose to walk out of their house if they want. Because neither of you have an armed guard at your door.

But if you do jump in your car or motorcycle to enjoy roaming the city, you are violating multiple stay-at-home orders (state and local) and, I quote, “can be fined, imprisoned or both.”

speeder 04-23-2020 07:38 PM

Not if I maintain social distancing and wear a mask around other people. I got coffee at my regular place this morning, (served to-go at the door), plenty of LAPD officers standing around doing the same.

People are overly dramatizing the current health orders and spreading a lot of BS...wonder why? :confused:

McLovin 04-23-2020 07:42 PM

Again, if you do what you said in your post, you’re breaking the law and are subject to fine and/or imprisonment.
You are only legally allowed to leave your house for a few very narrowly defined reasons.

McLovin 04-23-2020 07:43 PM

Perhaps read your state and LA orders.

McLovin 04-23-2020 07:54 PM

“Everyone is required to stay home except to get food, care for a relative or friend, get necessary health care, or go to an essential job.”

“ if you don’t follow the Order, you can be fined, imprisoned, or both.”

McLovin 04-23-2020 07:55 PM

No overdramatizing, that’s the Orders you’re living under, word for word. Just the facts.

Porsche-O-Phile 04-23-2020 08:09 PM

So the orders are all fine so long as they’re not enforced right?

Let me ask a really simple question - so simple even a TDSing moron can figure out the answer to it:

“If they had no intention of ever enforcing those rules, why bother making them in the first place?”

And a follow-up:

“What happens when they DO start enforcing them?”


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