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Join Date: Apr 2002
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I mentioned in that PARF thread that my old friends trucked their beautiful 72' wooden Schooner across the US to San Diego just to get out of hurricane alley decades ago.... it's either in San Diego harbor or down in Mexico in the Gulf of Ca....

I just have my finger crossed and hope all prepare and get through this .... it's gonna be bigly uglee

Old 08-19-2023, 12:08 PM
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Right now it is tracking to go right over Murrieta CA, where I live. Everything is lashed down and the generator is serviced and ready to go. Should be interesting couple of days.
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Old 08-19-2023, 12:54 PM
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I hope I'm right in saying that since Hilary is moving at 16 MPH and it's 235 miles from land and that the brute force of the wind part of the storm is using up its energy. It seems to be a fact that cooler water temps will reduce the hurricane phenomenon as if travels north. That may not do anything WRT to rain.

It is currently a little over a 1000 miles south of L.A. That puts the eye of the storm a little over 2 days out which is about what the predictions are.

The periphery is huge and that seems to be what the rain is all about. In my mind wind and rain are a real problem; wind alone can be a problem as is rain. So what is it going to be? Deserts are naturally windy which makes me think we are going to suffer significantly east of L.A. proper. That includes the 4 southern counties in CA.

I've spent the morning 'winterizing' as I do each winter putting away or covering all of our outdoor items. We are barely half way through out summer season.

Edit update from X (twitter): The expected rapid weakening trend has commenced. The storm has lost most of its deep convection in its western semicircle as well as a clearly defined, cloud-free eye. (1:22 PST)

Last edited by Zeke; 08-19-2023 at 01:44 PM..
Old 08-19-2023, 01:01 PM
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Hoping it won't be too bad for you left coaters. Hurricanes ain't fun.
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Old 08-19-2023, 02:15 PM
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It remains to be seen what the outcome of this is. Frankly I am not too worried about my local area but things do change.

What I see now is that the mainstream news is having quite a go at this sensationalizing. Come mid week we will know the story.

Flash floods are nothing new to the desert. Epic flash floods will be different. We could lose some infrastructure. Getting supplies to the affected areas might be a problem.

Edit: now category 2.

Last edited by Zeke; 08-19-2023 at 03:26 PM..
Old 08-19-2023, 03:15 PM
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Why would they want Catalina to evacuate? (I read that on some Yahoo article) High surf?
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Old 08-19-2023, 03:37 PM
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Wind will not be the issue, think Santa Ana winds...water is, as I have written before, inexorable, never gets tired.

Cat 0 won’t matter if the deluge slows. That is the threat.

I wish, I grew up in SoCal, you folks the gift of a quickly moving storm...
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Old 08-19-2023, 03:56 PM
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Not worry about it too much. I am just few miles north east of downtown LA so I should be a bit west of the storm's path. Spend a couple hours putting things away and my kids were cleaning gutters. Made sure my mother's place is button down with nothing to be blown into the neighbors. Sand bags are all out in most fire dept around the 20 mile radius. Been chasing them all morning. Finally found some at my locak construction supply yard and few bags of play sand. Need it to re-direct water flow at my mother's place near the low spot of her garage so it drains during hard rains. Hey, My 911 is in there. Rain will be the problem and we may have some small land slide up here in the hill other then that, I read that it will lose strength and the normal Santa Ana winds will be stronger. We shall see this evening.

Last edited by look 171; 08-19-2023 at 05:43 PM..
Old 08-19-2023, 05:40 PM
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Arizona and Nevada are on the dirty side of that storm. Places that normally di not get a lot of rain are going to get it fast and hard
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Old 08-19-2023, 07:19 PM
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Wasn't it last year or earlier this year that Cali had all of that rain and flooding that even filled Lake Tulare back up after having been dry for 70 or 100 years?

I hope everyone stays safe and makes it through this OK.
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Old 08-19-2023, 07:31 PM
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I think Palmsprings and Salton Sea area will get flooded because they normally don't see heavy rain falls like it too often. Not sure if Vegas will get much of this but last winter, the streets and casino were flooded from that big rain. At least our streets will be clean. Call it mid summer street cleansing.
Old 08-19-2023, 07:36 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by look 171 View Post
I think Palmsprings and Salton Sea area will get flooded because they normally don't see heavy rain falls like it too often. Not sure if Vegas will get much of this but last winter, the streets and casino were flooded from that big rain. At least our streets will be clean. Call it mid summer street cleansing.
Woo Hoo, the "garbage patch" in the pacific needs a new infusion!

Stay safe!
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Old 08-19-2023, 07:54 PM
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11 P.M. in downtown San Diego, and still no rain. Taking it's time this blow.
Old 08-19-2023, 11:07 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 917_Langheck View Post
11 P.M. in downtown San Diego, and still no rain. Taking it's time this blow.
I thought it will hit SD by now. Don't tel me I cleaned all that stuff for nothing. I bet this will be a dud with the news folks hyping it up.
Old 08-19-2023, 11:27 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by look 171 View Post
I thought it will hit SD by now. Don't tel me I cleaned all that stuff for nothing. I bet this will be a dud with the news folks hyping it up.
That’s what the news does, hype everything to the max. I’ve been through several cat 1 and cat 2 hurricanes, but our big worry is flooding due to being in the Lowcountry. I suppose Cali has flooding and mudslides.
Old 08-20-2023, 02:08 AM
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I wonder how my old friend is faring this morning .... I don't have contact with him anymore. Here is his "house" winning the San Diego schooners cup a few years back. This boat is his "baby"... he's an Air Force academy grad, couldn't fly (eyes), so he joined the Marines and went to 'Nam ... sailed around the world afterwards.... and a seasoned veteran of east coast storms. He obviously is no youngin' now .... and I just hope...

Thinking of PJ .... fingers crossed...


Old 08-20-2023, 03:38 AM
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Good luck to all our west coast friends . After suffering through four direct hit Hurricanes in one year when we lived in Orlando I wouldn't wish this on anybody . Stay safe .
Old 08-20-2023, 05:28 AM
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Good luck to all. You can rest assured that the media hype will far exceed the reality as it does down here 99% of the time.
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Old 08-20-2023, 05:42 AM
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The media hypes everything .... nothing new .

Anyone who disregards the potential because of that aspect is just .... rolling the dice.

Just don't!
Old 08-20-2023, 05:49 AM
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Not quite sunrise and I smell the rain, but no drops. It's palpable. It should start in minutes. Storm is to the east, San Diego is getting heavy rain and it's expected to run north. As you know, CA bulges out to the west if you follow the shore. So the deserts are going to get the worst of just as it has been predicted.

Old 08-20-2023, 06:02 AM
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