Stijn!!

[GH85Carrera]

Good FRIDAY morning all.

[RKDinOKC]

Undaunted by yet another day staring at a day of activities referred to as work I say, Good Morning.
It does help that this is the last day before a two day respite from those activies, i.e. IT'S FRIDAY!!

A bit envious of those like Jim, but at this point still need to supplement my income with the financial benefits from the activities known as work to be able to meet my budgetary expenditures.

[Porsche-poor]

Morning all. off to go play nice for another 6.5 hours.

[flipper35]

If it weren't for this work thing, I would have more free time. Then again, I don't know if I can afford more free time so I have to work. Maybe someone will buy one of those winning lotto tickets for me.

[Porsche-poor]

I keep telling myself I could win the lottery if only I could part with the dollar to get a ticket.....

[flipper35]

That is why I need someone to give me a winning ticket. I don't want just any old ticket but would take a winning one. Even if it is just the $100k instant or whatever they are.

[RKDinOKC]

Paid too much attention in Math classes. The lottery just does not have a reliable return on the investment. Came up with a system based on Chaos theory and strange attractors that actually picks winning numbers. Problem is you have to buy so many tickets to hit the numbers it just breaks even. Still not a very good investment.

Tried several times to reduce the number of tickets required. But trying to hit 5 strange attractors just takes too many combinations to guarantee a win. Must be a geek because I thought is was fun monkeying with the Chaos Mathematics.

Was able to play the scratch offs almost every day for 3 months on a $20 initial investment. Got as far as $300 ahead and won as much as $200 at one time before losing back down to $0. You can go on-line and find out which scratch offs have paid out and how many tickets sold so far. So I only bought scratch offs with the most cards sold and the least prizes paid.

[GH85Carrera]

There is an entire county of really smart people, and not one has come up with a reliable way to win the lottery, or in Vegas that is not cheating.

Just the odds make the lottery just a tax on mathematically ignorant people.

[flipper35]

Nerd!

[GH85Carrera]

Originally Posted by flipper35

Nerd!

Guilty!

Or is it geek?

Nerdy geek?

[RKDinOKC]

I don't consider it winning if you by as many or more tickets than the prize money would pay for.

Someone could buy one of every possible number combination thereby reducing the odds to 1:1 and have purchased the winning numbers.

Chaos mathematics is the math of determining patterns in random events.
Finding a pattern in the numbers would reduce the odds.
Chaos theory does not find the actual numbers but can find the patterns to reduce the number of tickets purchased to hit the actual numbers.
You determine how close the previous numbers came to the next drawings winning numbers.
There is historical list all of the winning numbers and when they were drawn is available on-line.
By comparing the winning numbers you will see there are patterns in the randomness of how closely the numbers of a drawing are to the each number of the next drawing.
You can determine the spread plus or minus from a drawings numbers that will most likely hit at the next drawing.
You can also determine by how the numbers themselves are spread how likely the spread to hit the next drawing will be the smallest.
So from this you pick a spread and buy tickets that includes all the combinations withing that spread.

Example if your spread is plus or minus 1 and one of the numbers was 5 you would put 4, 5, and 6 in your combinations.
To cover all the combinations would have 5 numbers to the 3rd power or 125 tickets.

If the spread was plus or minus 3 that would be 7 possibilities for each number or 5 numbers to the 7th power, or 78,125 tickets.

To get a 90% chance of having a winning number no matter when you played you would have to buy plus or minus 7 numbers of the last winning numbers. To cover that spread would be 5 to the 15th power or 30,517,578,125 tickets.

You can see how advantageous it is to be able to find the patterns and frequency of have a close spread between the current numbers and the next drawings winning numbers.

I found I could regularly choose the correct time to have the winning numbers in my ticket set with a spread of plus or minus 4 numbers. That's 5 to the 9th power or 1,953,125 tickets at a cost of $3,906,250. Problem is the standard 5 ball payoff is $1,000,000 with a max of $2,000,000 with powerplay. Basically a loss of 50 to 75% invested.

And that does NOT include the powerball which has to be calculated separately becase its number comes out of a different set. Which would require you to increase the number of tickets purchased times the spread of the powerball to be able to hit the next powerball number along with the 5 balls. So, if I wanted to also hit the powerball and got the spread down to 20 numbers I would have to buy 39,062,500 tickets at a cost of $117,187,500 to hit the grand prize. The current grand prize is $64,000.000. About the same losses or worse percentage wise than just playing without the powerball at a greater overall expense. You could wait around until the jackpot got so big that the $118 million investment would pay off. But you also have to consider the taxes. And make sure you keep the stubs from all those 40 million tickets so you can deduct them from the taxes on the winnings.

Then there is also the logistics of being able to purchase that many tickets with specifying the numbers between one drawing and the next.

Wasn't that fun?

Next step would be to use the last 2 or 3 sets of winning numbers and see if the differences between the two previous numbers and the winning number can be trended to further reduce the spread and introduce a strange attractor to focus that spread. Example: if the previous 2 numbers were 10 and 8 maybe the strange attractor would be 9 and the total spread would only be 5 instead of a total spread of 9. That would be 3,125 tickets instead of 1,953,125 tickets. Greatly reducing the number of tickets required to get the same odds. Haven't done that yet to see what the results are. It does sound like a fun exercise.

See, told you I was a geek.

[Jim Richards]

It would take a bit of time to fill out all the necessary play slips and then submit them to one or more lottery retailers to generate tickets. I'll play a random draw now and then. Probably not gonna get it done, but that's life.

[Jim Richards]

Originally Posted by flipper35

If it weren't for this work thing, I would have more free time. Then again, I don't know if I can afford more free time so I have to work. Maybe someone will buy one of those winning lotto tickets for me.

I think you're underestimating how busy you'll be in retirement. Of course, you'll be busy doing more of the stuff you enjoy.

[RKDinOKC]

When I was working nights, in the wee hours of the weekend I got board at times. One of the things I did was to get some cards and learned to shuffle multiple decks like they do for blackjack in
Vegas. I then dealt and tracked the results using the hit 17 standards for 100's of hands. I kept track of whether the NEXT had was a winner based on 3 things. The card I had up, the card I had down, and the card the dealer had showing. I randomly reshuffled. Reordered the cards like they were new packs and shuffled. And had various numbers of players.

I ended up with a data set telling me if the next hand was a likely winner based on my current delt up and down cards, and what the dealer had showing. Using that I increased my odds playing blackjack to 60%. That's pretty good!

The best part is, you aren't counting cards. And your bet randomly fluctuates based on the cards delt the last hand you played. And it doesn't matter if they shuffle or bring out new decks.

Later found that they will kick you out and ban you if you win a lot and they think you are using any sort of system, etc.

[RKDinOKC]

I've got LOTS of things to do around the house that I know would take lots of time if I didn't have work to keep me busy. And that's just the stuff around the house.

[GH85Carrera]

Good Saturday morning folks. The fog is lifting and the sun is out.

[RKDinOKC]

Spent the day running errands. Have one stop I missed. Oh well. Not today.

Weather was nice though.

[GH85Carrera]

Agggghhhhh!

I have been kidnapped and brought to HELL!!!



I am at the mall. Aggghhhhhhhhhh!

And to top it off, they are playing freaking horrible Christmas music already. Agggghhhhh.

Mrs. Carrera decided “we” needed new jeans. In recent days when colder weather arrived I have worn good in my mind good jeans. Since winter is coming she decided I needed new “good” jeans in her definition not my broken in jeans. I showed her two pair of jeans that are in the closet so I am off the hook. She “needs” new jeans so right now is the only window open since she has a coupon. I ain’t letting her go to the mall at night alone so I am standing in hell, or the women’s clothing section of the mall waiting for her to test drive the jeans. Agggggghhhhhhh.

Pray for me.

[RKDinOKC]

aaummmmmm, ominous taquitoes forbiscume benny selly all his dominooooooos.

[RKDinOKC]

So, part of the stuff you are supposed get a dog used to for Diabetic Alert Dog trainings is Kong feeding.



You feed them about 1/3 of their daily food with a Kong. Mix their dry food with some water or wet food, put it in one of those Kong things with and enticing treat in the open end and freeze it. Then in the morning you are supposed to pull it out of the freezer and give it to them.

Having to work and play with the kong to get their food is supposed to teach them they have to work for everything and don't get anything for nothing. At least while you are doing the new behavior training. That's what the trainer for DA dogs says. After DA dog training I can go back to free feeding. Interesting. Say this lets you use their regular food for treats instead of giving them way too many dog treats.

Thought it might be a bit of a struggle since sometimes Pepper puts off eating her regular food for two or three days. Gave her first kong to her this evening when I usually fill her bowl then sit down and eat my dinner. She usually waits until I am thru eating (I give her my last bite) then finishes off the food in her bowl. With the kong she went right to working on getting her regular food out of the kong and eating it instead of waiting for my last bite. It took her about 30 minutes. She usually gobbples her bowl down in 5.

She walked away from the kong and I thought she was finished. Went to pick it up and she rushed in and grabbed it and went to work getting out the last couple of morsels. When empty she brought it to me. Sometimes she just seems to do everything right. That is when you are supposed to praise them big time!

Filled the kong back up with soggy food and stuck it in the freezer. Will see how it goes in the morning.