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http://www.mongrelmedia.com/films/ManufacturedLandscapes.html
Might give a little perspective on what China is dealing with internally and how the external world fits into it. |
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A Man of Wealth and Taste
Join Date: Dec 2002
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A Man of Wealth and Taste
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What fking Reagan
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I tend to go with stupid and for a very simple reason we bleived Sadam and his blustering that he head WMDs
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Not getting sidetracked on the USSR, let's stick to the point which is China.
Did I correctly describe the path China is trying to follow, and the situation that is forcing it down that path? Or does China have other paths in mind - e.g. world conquest as Jeff fears? What are the possible responses of the USA to China's desired path? Should we try to block it? Facilitate it? Re-direct it? Would those responses be successful? How would they fit with the interests of the USA? What pressures is the USA under, and what path(s) do they compel us to take? Of course there are other players. There are Europe, the USSR, the oil producing regions, and perhaps Japan.
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A Man of Wealth and Taste
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Well make up your frickin mind..your just like a woman....first you say lets not get sidtracked and before that even gets acknowledged you go right back and mention it again...what kind of bait and switch tactics are these anyway? Lets figure out what you want to discuss before we go any further and get more confuzed.
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Good point Tabs. That's another natural resource that the Chinese are short on -- women! As jyl mentions, China's demographics are going to go upside down in a few years. If this were to happen gradually, that would be one thing. But a combination of 1 child families and the dearth of women is most likely going to mean that it's going to happen quickly. Given rampant self insurance in that country (or to put it differently, sons are insurance), there is going to be a sudden increase in medical costs at the same time when there will be a decrease in productive employees. The result I suspect will be a sharp increase in labor rates and a drop in productivity. Neither bodes will for the mid-term performance of their economy.
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The USA is in an interesting position. It is already a wealthy nation, but is demographically "younger" than other wealthy nations/regions like Japan and the EU. Meaning that our population is growing, not static/declining, and relatively younger, 37 y/o. The USA has substantial natural resources relative to its consumption, with the major exception of oil. We do have a sizeable national debt and ongoing deficit to manage. Our political system has been quite stable, since the Civil War anyway. We also have the pre-eminent military force.
It feels to me that the USA has various options, I don't think we are forced into only one choice.
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You can tell the difference between a sidenote (USSR) and the main point (China). If you don't want to play, then don't.
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Join Date: Jul 2001
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I used to think that China will soon be faced with the burden of maintaining a middle class, but it likely won't happen. They have wave after wave/an endless supply of peasants to pull from. If the current crop gets uppity they'll just replace them with the next crop. The US and other developed countries did not have this "luxury" hence the formation of a middle class. The demands of our masses had to be met as we would have literally ran out of labor, this will not happen there(for several lifetimes anyway).
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I agree. I think China has to run as fast as it can, because its demographic clock is counting down. Unless it can change that demographic future, it will be in Japan's situation in a few decades. Don't know if mandating larger families, shortening life expectancy, or increasing immigration are realistic options. Japan got old, but it got rich first. China needs to get rich, quickly.
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A Man of Wealth and Taste
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I detect a HIGH degree of cynicism and a bit of fatalism.
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A Man of Wealth and Taste
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So stop yur changing the subject all the time. Lets just settle down and talk about one thing..Is it gong to be the USA, China or Russia? ![]()
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Why is it the race to the top includes a race to the bottom?
My mother-in-law always buys cheap Chinese crap by the sackfull to give to our kids. She usually brings a 30 Gallon garbage bag of this junk. As soon as she leaves most of the stuff goes right into the trash. I have told her not to bother bringing this crap over but she just keeps on doing it. There have been alot of good points made here. Speedy ![]()
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Not as ADD as tabs on a mild day . . .
I thought we were talking about what is the USA's best response to China? So, what path(s) is China on? How should the USA respond, considering the path(s) that the USA wants to be on? Quote:
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I have seen telecom companies sell their PBX type box for several hundred dollars because nobody else has a PBX box that handles the workload, but they spec parts that I would call "toy grade" components just to save a .10 to .15 cents instead of using something that has better quality (i.e. industrial and/or automotive grade, military grade in some extreme cases). I think the same can be said for iPod and other LET type products...........They have a great product but companies want to maximize profit and they decide to spec in cheap parts instead of making them more reliable. How many of us have a “beverage”refrigerator in our garage that is over 20 years old (I’ve seen some from the late 50’s)? That is because the companies made a solid product back then, but now the quality is DOWN because companies are more interested in squeezing a few more pennies out of a product instead of making the product more reliable………..It’s the new American way! I would ramble on about how Wal-Mart has played a major part in Chinese invasion, but that is a whole other ball game.
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To me, that is a demographic asset - and can be a positive, or not, depending on whether the USA exploits the asset or squanders it. Suppose native-born AND immigrant kids in the USA were really well educated, effectively assimilated, and grew up to become engineers, scientists, craftsmen, skilled labor, entrepreneurs, and so on. People who are economically productive and add to GDP. Do you care if they are Hispanic, Caucasian, Asian, whatever? If someone starts (for example) a biotech company and creates a bunch of high-paying high-skill jobs in the USA, I don't care if his name is Juan or Deepak, Zhong or Peter. And I don't care if his family came from Mexico or India, China or Iowa. US society is quite open, we absorb a lot of immigrants, and that is a strength. (This isn't a comment about illegal immigration, I don't think that is a good way to assimilate people.)
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And the dipdh!t "experts" and most economists are insisting that it will not harm our nation. Idiots are in control! |
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A Man of Wealth and Taste
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Be creative and think of something new to counter me with,use your imagination boy...
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